302678

Performance of pediatric index of mortality-2, pediatric index of mortality-3 and pediatric risk of mortality IV in an Egyptian pediatric intensive care unit.

Article

Last updated: 04 Jan 2025

Subjects

-

Tags

Pediatrics and neonatology.

Abstract

Introduction: Severity of illness (SOI) scores have been developed to predict the outcome and to provide a better quality of care with available resources.

Objective of the study: was to evaluate the predictive ability of Pediatric index of mortality-2 (PIM-2), pediatric index of mortality-3(PIM-3) and Pediatric risk of mortality IV (PRISM IV) in a resource-limited PICU.

Materials and methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study in PICU in Sohag University Hospital in the period from March 2018 to June 2020. We recorded the baseline patient characteristics, admission diagnoses, variables of PIM-2, PIM-3 and PRISM IV models and outcomes of children admitted to the PICU. We utilized Area Under Receiver Operating Characteristics (AU-ROC) curves and Goodness-of-fit (GOF) test to evaluate the discrimination and calibration of the three models.

Results: Of 451 patients enrolled, 171 (37.9%) died. Sepsis was the major admission diagnosis. The discrimination was acceptable for PRISM IV, while it was poor for both PIM-2 and PIM-3 as indicated by the AU-ROC which was (0.74; 95%CI: 0.62- 0.86 for PRISM IV) vs (0.69; 95% CI: 0.58- 0.81 for PIM-2) and (0.69; 95% CI: 0.57-0.81for PIM-3) (p < 0.0001). The calibration was poor for all scores as the p-value of GOF test for was < 0.0001 for all scores.

Conclusion: The discrimination of PRISM IV was acceptable and the best among the three models. All scores had poor calibration and under-predict mortality in our setting. We suggest utilizing them as quality indicators rather than in mortality prediction.

DOI

10.21608/smj.2023.206040.1383

Keywords

Severity of illness assessment scores, Discrimination, calibration

Authors

First Name

Montaser

Last Name

Mohamed

MiddleName

Mohamed

Affiliation

pediatric,medicine,sohag university,egypt

Email

montaser_dabah@yahoo.com

City

Sohag

Orcid

-

First Name

Rania

Last Name

Abdelatif

MiddleName

Gamal

Affiliation

Pediatric department, Faculty of Medicine, Sohag University, Egypt

Email

d.rania.gamal@gmail.com

City

Sohag

Orcid

0000-0003-1303-7796

First Name

Mohamed

Last Name

Bakheet

MiddleName

Abdel Aal Mohamed

Affiliation

pediatric Department, Faculty of Medicine, Sohag university, Sohag, Egypt.

Email

egypt_1370@yahoo.com

City

Sohag

Orcid

-

First Name

Ramadan

Last Name

Mahmoud

MiddleName

Aboelhassan Ahmed

Affiliation

pediatric department, Faculty of medicine, sohag university, Sohag, Egypt

Email

ramadan.aboelhassan@yahoo.com

City

Sohag

Orcid

-

Volume

27

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

40612

Issue Date

2023-05-01

Receive Date

2023-04-22

Publish Date

2023-05-01

Page Start

95

Page End

104

Print ISSN

1687-8353

Online ISSN

2682-4159

Link

https://smj.journals.ekb.eg/article_302678.html

Detail API

https://smj.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=302678

Order

302,678

Type

Original Article

Type Code

785

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Sohag Medical Journal

Publication Link

https://smj.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Performance of pediatric index of mortality-2, pediatric index of mortality-3 and pediatric risk of mortality IV in an Egyptian pediatric intensive care unit.

Details

Type

Article

Created At

24 Dec 2024