380114

Evaluation of the Performance of Categorical Boosting Algorithm for Flood Prediction in Osun River Basin

Article

Last updated: 03 Jan 2025

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Abstract

Flooding is the third biggest disaster in the world according to the World Meteorological Organization. Several methods like numerical models, physical models, and Machine Learning (ML) models have been engaged in flood prediction to minimize the impact of flooding. Despite the improvements experienced in the use of some ML methods, there are still drawbacks due to accuracy. Hence, this study evaluated Categorical Boosting Algorithm (CatBoost) for flood prediction based on some evaluation metrics. Relevant flood-predictive factors were identified from the Osun River basin. The data was split into 70% for the training and 30% for the testing of the algorithm. The flood dataset was imported into the CatBoost Algorithm using Python programming language with the default parameters of the algorithm. The algorithm was evaluated using accuracy, precision, sensitivity, and multiclass loss function. The results showed that the accuracy, precision, and sensitivity of the CatBoost Algorithm were 92.48%, 63.82%, and 85.86% respectively. The result of the multiclass loss function during validation was 0.165874, which was significantly lower than the result during training, which was 0.925104. This indicates that the algorithm is overfitting the training data and is not generalizing well to new data. This can be a prospect for further study.

DOI

10.21608/jocc.2024.380114

Keywords

Categorical Boosting, Algorithm, flooding, Machine Learning, Evaluation

Authors

First Name

Oluwatosin

Last Name

Ogundolie

MiddleName

I

Affiliation

Department of Computer Science, Ladoke Akintola University, Ogbomoso, Nigeria

Email

mdtosin@gmail.com

City

Ogbomoso

Orcid

0000-0003-4201-231X

First Name

Stephen

Last Name

Olabiyisi

MiddleName

Olatunde

Affiliation

Department of Computer Science, Ladoke Akintola University, Ogbomoso, Nigeria

Email

soolabiyisi@lautech.edu.ng

City

Ogbomoso

Orcid

0000-0003-3666-4282

First Name

Rafiu

Last Name

Ganiyu

MiddleName

Adesina

Affiliation

Department of Computer Science, Ladoke Akintola University, Ogbomoso, Nigeria

Email

raganiyu@lautech.edu.ng

City

Ogbomoso

Orcid

-

First Name

Yetomiwa

Last Name

Jeremiah

MiddleName

Sinat

Affiliation

Department of Computer Science, Ladoke Akintola University, Ogbomoso, Nigeria

Email

teejabar5@gmail.com

City

Ogbomosho

Orcid

-

First Name

Frank

Last Name

Ogundolie

MiddleName

Abimbola

Affiliation

Department of Biotechnology, Faculty of Computing and Applied Sciences, Baze University Abuja, Nigeria

Email

fa.ogundolie@gmail.com

City

Abuja

Orcid

0000-0001-6112-1496

Volume

3

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

50382

Issue Date

2024-07-01

Receive Date

2024-05-01

Publish Date

2024-07-31

Page Start

23

Page End

30

Online ISSN

2636-3577

Link

https://jocc.journals.ekb.eg/article_380114.html

Detail API

https://jocc.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=380114

Order

3

Type

Original Article

Type Code

731

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Journal of Computing and Communication

Publication Link

https://jocc.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Evaluation of the Performance of Categorical Boosting Algorithm for Flood Prediction in Osun River Basin

Details

Type

Article

Created At

24 Dec 2024