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204718

Remittances and Inflation in Egypt: An Econometric Study Using an ARDL Model

Article

Last updated: 03 Jan 2025

Subjects

-

Tags

الاقتصاد

Abstract

This paper analyzes the impact of remittance inflows on inflation in Egypt. It uses an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to identify the short-run and long-run sources of inflation in Egypt during 1975-2019, while including remittance inflows among the inflation determinants. The results show that remittance inflows to Egypt have inflationary pressures in the long run, whereas such inflationary pressures are not confirmed in the short run. Other sources of inflation in the long run include the output gap, money supply, and openness. The results indicate the exchange-rate pass through effect is transitory, since it exists only in the short run.
Accordingly, there are some recommendations that might help contain inflationary pressures of remittances in the long run. Among these recommendations are implementing information campaigns that target Egyptian emigrants on the available investment opportunities in Egypt, creating financial products that are customized for Egyptian emigrants, reducing the regulative burdens on investment in Egypt, and providing more incentives for Egyptian emigrants to invest in productive sectors not just the real state sector.

DOI

10.21608/aja.2021.93493.1146

Keywords

Remittances, Inflation, cointegration, Autoregressive Distributed Lag model, Error Correction Model

Authors

First Name

Waleed Mohamed

Last Name

Youssef

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Faculty of Business – Ain Shams University - Arab Republic of Egypt

Email

waleed.youssef@bus.asu.edu.eg

City

القاهرة

Orcid

0000-0002-6668-5378

Volume

44

Article Issue

4

Related Issue

44754

Issue Date

2024-08-01

Receive Date

2021-08-30

Publish Date

2024-08-01

Page Start

377

Page End

394

Print ISSN

1110-5453

Online ISSN

2663-4473

Link

https://aja.journals.ekb.eg/article_204718.html

Detail API

https://aja.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=204718

Order

19

Type

بحوث باللغة الإنجلیزیة

Type Code

707

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

المجلة العربية للإدارة

Publication Link

https://aja.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Remittances and Inflation in Egypt: An Econometric Study Using an ARDL Model

Details

Type

Article

Created At

24 Dec 2024