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359328

An Analytical Study of the Most Important Food Security Indicators for Oil Crops in Egypt

Article

Last updated: 01 Jan 2025

Subjects

-

Tags

Agricultural economics

Abstract

The research problem was the presence of a nutritional gap in vegetable oils for soybean, sunflower, and corn crops, which averaged during the period (2008-2022) about -213.2, -246.1, and -26.5 thousand tons, respectively. The research aimed to estimate food security indicators and predict the amount of production, consumption, imports, and the rate of self-sufficiency during the period (2008-2022). The results showed that by examining the general trend equations for the variables of the study, it was found that there was an increase in the amount of production, consumption, imports, exports, and the per capita share of soybean oil. As for the gap, it took a decreasing trend, while the self-sufficiency rate took an increasing trend.

As for sunflower oil, studying the general trend equations for the study variables during the period (2008-2022) showed that there was an increase in the amount of consumption and imports, which amounted to about 0.02 and 0.74 thousand tons, respectively. As for the amount of production, exports, average per capita income, the food gap, and the self-sufficiency rate, they have taken a decreasing trend.
By estimating the general trend equations for corn oil during the same period, it was found that there was an increase in the amount of production, consumption, and imports. As for the quantity of exports, the food gap, and the self-sufficiency rate, they have taken a decreasing trend.
By estimating the strategic stock of soybean, sunflower, and corn oil during the period (2008-2022), it was found that it amounted to about 53.1, 31.4, and 8.4 thousand tons, respectively, which is sufficient to consume approximately 2.3, 2.3, and 5.6 months, respectively.
By estimating the food security factor for soybean, sunflower, and corn oil during the same period, it was found that it amounted to about 0.13, 0.12, and 0.23, respectively, which indicates food insecurity for the three oils.
By estimating the predictive values ​​of the studied variables until the year 2035, it was found that there was an increase in both production and the self-sufficiency rate of soybean oil, which amounted to about 561.5 thousand tons, 73.21%, respectively. While consumption, imports, and the food gap were shown to decrease. As for sunflower oil, it was found that there was an increase in the amount of production and imports, as well as an increase in the food gap, while there was a decrease in the amount of production and the self-sufficiency rate by about 6.4 thousand tons, 1.59%, respectively. As for corn oil, it was found that there was an increase in production, consumption, imports, and the food gap. While the self-sufficiency rate decreased to about 10.37%.

DOI

10.21608/asejaiqjsae.2024.359328

Keywords

Oil Crops, Soybeans, Sunflowers, corn

Authors

First Name

Fatma

Last Name

Elbateh

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Assistant Professor of Agricultural Economics - Faculty of Agriculture - Benha University

Email

fatma.albth@fagr.bu.edu.eg

City

Qalyubia

Orcid

-

First Name

Shimaa

Last Name

Abo sena

MiddleName

Mostafa

Affiliation

Lecturer of Agricultural Economics -Faculty of agriculture - suez canal University - Egypt

Email

mostafashimaa184@gmail.com

City

ismailia

Orcid

-

Volume

45

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

47194

Issue Date

2024-06-01

Receive Date

2024-05-15

Publish Date

2024-07-01

Page Start

445

Page End

467

Print ISSN

1110-0176

Online ISSN

2536-9784

Link

https://asejaiqjsae.journals.ekb.eg/article_359328.html

Detail API

https://asejaiqjsae.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=359328

Order

19

Type

Original Article

Type Code

53

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Alexandria Science Exchange Journal

Publication Link

https://asejaiqjsae.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

An Analytical Study of the Most Important Food Security Indicators for Oil Crops in Egypt

Details

Type

Article

Created At

23 Dec 2024