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387316

Bifurcation analysis of vertical transmission model with preventive strategy

Article

Last updated: 31 Dec 2024

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Abstract

We formulate and analyze a deterministic mathematical model for the prevention of a
disease transmitted horizontally and vertically in a population of varying size. The model incorporates
prevention of disease on individuals at birth and adulthood and allows for natural recovery
from infection. The main aim of the study is to investigate the impact of a preventive strategy applied
at birth and at adulthood in reducing the disease burden. Bifurcation analysis is explored to deter-
mine existence conditions for establishment of the epidemic states. The results of the study showed
that in addition to the disease-free equilibrium there exist multiple endemic equilibria for the model
reproduction number below unity. These results may have serious implications on the design of intervention
programs and public health policies. Numerical simulations were carried out to illustrate
analytical results.

DOI

10.1016/j.joems.2015.10.001

Keywords

Vertical transmission, threshold, Stability analysis, Vaccination, Bifurcations, Reproduction number

Authors

First Name

Gosalamang

Last Name

Kelatlhegile

MiddleName

Ricardo

Affiliation

Department of Basic Sciences, Botswana College of Agriculture, Private Bag 0027, Gaborone, Botswana

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Orcid

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First Name

Moatlhodi

Last Name

Kgosimore

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Basic Sciences, Botswana College of Agriculture, Private Bag 0027, Gaborone, Botswana

Email

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Orcid

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Volume

24

Article Issue

3

Related Issue

51065

Issue Date

2016-09-01

Receive Date

2024-10-21

Publish Date

2016-09-01

Page Start

492

Page End

498

Print ISSN

1110-256X

Online ISSN

2090-9128

Link

https://joems.journals.ekb.eg/article_387316.html

Detail API

https://joems.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=387316

Order

387,316

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Journal of the Egyptian Mathematical Society

Publication Link

https://joems.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Bifurcation analysis of vertical transmission model with preventive strategy

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Type

Article

Created At

21 Dec 2024