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393384

Mathematical model of malaria with seasonal evolution of mosquitoes population: case of Burkina Faso

Article

Last updated: 29 Dec 2024

Subjects

-

Tags

Dynamical systems

Abstract

This work is devoted to the formulation and study of mathematical
model of malaria transmission taking into account the seasonal evolution of the
vector populations.The aim is to examine the impact of the seasonal variation
of mosquitoes on the
uctuation of malaria cases in Burkina Faso. The human
population is divide to susceptible (Sh), exposed (Eh), infected (Ih) and recovered
(Rh). The vector population is divided to susceptible (Sv) and infected
(Iv). The basic mathematical properties of the model such as the boundedness
and positivity of the solutions are established. The basic reproduction number
R0 of the model is determined. The global stability of the endemic and disease
free equilibrium point is proven. The impact of seasonality and temperature on
vector dynamics (the function f) is developed to determine the intense period
of mosquitoes. The sensitivity of the parameters is studied to determine the
most sensitive parameters in the evolution of the malaria disease. We use the
Python software for the numerical simulation of the model. The real data on
the number of malaria cases in Burkina Faso is used in the simulation section to
illustrate the mathematical analysis. This study highlights that an increase in
the mosquito population leads to a rise in malaria cases, while their reduction
results in a decrease in cases. It also shows that the month with a high incidence
of malaria in BURKINA Faso are July, August, September and October,
whereas the months with fewer cases are July and February.

DOI

10.21608/ejmaa.2024.292529.1210

Keywords

Malaria, Vector, seasonality, sensitivity, Simulation

Authors

First Name

Lassina

Last Name

Ouattara

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Departement de Mathématique, Université Nazi Boni, Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso

Email

lassmaths2@gmail.com

City

-

Orcid

0009-0002-9280-178X

First Name

Dramane

Last Name

Ouedraogo

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Departement de Mathématique, Université Nazi Boni, Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso

Email

dramaneouedraogo268@yahoo.ca

City

Bobo Dioulasso

Orcid

-

First Name

Oumar

Last Name

Diop

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Université virtuelle du Sénégal, Dakar, Sénégal.

Email

oumar.diop@unchk.edu.sn

City

Dakar

Orcid

-

First Name

Guiro

Last Name

Aboudramane

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Departement de Mathématique, Université Nazi Boni, Bobo Dioulasso, Burkina Faso

Email

abuguiro@yahoo.fr

City

Bobo Dioulasso

Orcid

-

Volume

13

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

51150

Issue Date

2025-01-01

Receive Date

2024-05-25

Publish Date

2025-01-01

Page Start

1

Page End

22

Print ISSN

3009-6731

Online ISSN

2090-729X

Link

https://ejmaa.journals.ekb.eg/article_393384.html

Detail API

https://ejmaa.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=393384

Order

393,384

Type

Regular research papers

Type Code

2,651

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Electronic Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications

Publication Link

https://ejmaa.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Mathematical model of malaria with seasonal evolution of mosquitoes population: case of Burkina Faso

Details

Type

Article

Created At

18 Dec 2024