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312694

On spatio-temporal dynamics of COVID-19 epidemic 𝑆𝐸_1𝐸_2𝐼_1𝐼_2𝑅𝑆 model incorporating virus mutations and vaccinations effects

Article

Last updated: 29 Dec 2024

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Abstract

This work is devoted to present temporal-only and spatio-temporal COVID-19 epidemic models when virus mutations and vaccination influences are considered. Firstly, the proposed non-diffusive COVID-19 model is introduced. The nonlinear incidence rate is employed to better model the strict measures forced by governmental authorities to control pandemic spread. The immunity acquired by vaccinations are assumed to be incomplete for realistic considerations. The existence, uniqueness and continuous dependence on initial conditions are studied for the solution. The study of stability along with bifurcation analysis are carried out to investigate the influences of variations in model's parameters. Moreover, the basic reproduction number is obtained for the proposed model. The stability regions for equilibrium points are depicted in space of parameters to explore their effects. Secondly, the diffusive version of the model is considered where possible occurrence of Turing instability is investigated. Finally, numerical simulations are employed to verify theoretical results of the work.

DOI

10.21608/ejmaa.2023.228645.1056

Keywords

stability, epidemics, Basic reproduction number, Bifurcations

Authors

First Name

Abdelalim A.

Last Name

Elsadany

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Basic Science Dept., Faculty of computers and Information, Suez Canal University,Ismailia 41522 - Egypt

Email

aelsadany1@yahoo.com

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Sara

Last Name

Aljuaidi

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Mathematics, College of Science and Humanities in Al-Kharj, Prince Sattam Bin Abdulaziz University, Al-Kharj 11942, Saudi Arabia.

Email

s.h.m33@hotmail.com

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Amr

Last Name

Elsonbaty

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Mathematics and Engineering Physics Department, Faculty of Engineering, Mansoura University

Email

sonbaty2010@gmail.com

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

A

Last Name

Aldurayhim

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Mathematics, College of Science and Humanities in Al-Kharj, Prince Sattam Bin Abdulaziz University, Al-Kharj 11942, Saudi Arabia.

Email

aldurayhim@gmail.com

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

11

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

39572

Issue Date

2023-07-01

Receive Date

2023-08-11

Publish Date

2023-07-01

Page Start

1

Page End

31

Print ISSN

3009-6731

Online ISSN

2090-729X

Link

https://ejmaa.journals.ekb.eg/article_312694.html

Detail API

https://ejmaa.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=312694

Order

312,694

Type

Regular research papers

Type Code

2,651

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Electronic Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications

Publication Link

https://ejmaa.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

On spatio-temporal dynamics of COVID-19 epidemic 𝑆𝐸_1𝐸_2𝐼_1𝐼_2𝑅𝑆 model incorporating virus mutations and vaccinations effects

Details

Type

Article

Created At

18 Dec 2024