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219661

GLOBAL DYNAMICS AND SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF SEIAR MATHEMATICAL MODEL FOR COVID-19 PANDEMIC

Article

Last updated: 28 Dec 2024

Subjects

-

Tags

Mathematics and Computer Science

Abstract

In this paper, we introduce a mathematical  model for the ongoing outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. We use the reproduction number  to perform the sensitivity analysis and determine the most critical parameters from which we measure the volume of COVID-19 propagation. Global stability analysis of the model is investigated based on suitable Lyapunov functions. Based on facts to estimate the spread of COVID-19 throughout the world, numerical simulation is presented. Furthermore, we compare our simulation results to some real-world data collected by the World Health Organization over a period of time on reported infected cases.

DOI

10.21608/aunj.2021.219661

Keywords

COVID-19 pandemic, SEIAR Mathematical model, Basic reproduction number, Sensitivity analysis, stability, Numerical simulation

Volume

50

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

30988

Issue Date

2021-12-01

Receive Date

2022-02-15

Publish Date

2021-12-01

Page Start

1

Page End

18

Print ISSN

2812-5029

Online ISSN

2812-5037

Link

https://aunj.journals.ekb.eg/article_219661.html

Detail API

https://aunj.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=219661

Order

219,661

Type

Novel Research Articles

Type Code

2,242

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Assiut University Journal of Multidisciplinary Scientific Research

Publication Link

https://aunj.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

GLOBAL DYNAMICS AND SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF SEIAR MATHEMATICAL MODEL FOR COVID-19 PANDEMIC

Details

Type

Article

Created At

23 Jan 2023