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237797

Estimating Behavioral Agent-Based Models for Financial Markets through Machine Learning Surrogates

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Last updated: 05 Jan 2025

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Abstract

Traditional economic assumptions such as rational, 
representative agents and efficient market hypothesis failed to 
explain the macro-behavior of financial markets. On the other 
hand, agent-based approach proves high potentials in modeling 
bounded rational and heterogeneous micro-behaviors. This 
approach captures important stylized facts of financial markets. 
However, the high complexity of estimating agent-based models 
parameters precludes using these models in the forecasting 
process. This problem limits the applicability of agent-based 
models in decision making and policy formulation processes. 
Thereafter, this research aims at introducing a prospect for 
estimating agent-based models for financial markets through
surrogate modeling approach. Surrogate models are considered as 
novel parameter estimation method in economics though it is a 
well-defined method in engineering. Few efforts have been spent 
to estimate parameters using surrogate models.

DOI

10.21608/ijmsbe.2022.237797

Keywords

Agent, Based Models, Financial Markets, Machine Learning Surrogates

Authors

First Name

Heba

Last Name

M. Ezzat

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Affiliation

1 Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Business Administration, Economics and Political Science, The British University in Egypt, ElSherouk City, Egypt. 2 Department of Socio-Computing, Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Cairo, Egypt.

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Volume

5

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

34273

Issue Date

2022-06-01

Receive Date

2022-05-17

Publish Date

2022-06-01

Page Start

1

Page End

13

Print ISSN

2735-5438

Online ISSN

2735-5446

Link

https://ijmsbe.journals.ekb.eg/article_237797.html

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https://ijmsbe.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=237797

Order

237,797

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Original Article

Type Code

1,998

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

International Journal of Multidisciplinary Studies on Management, Business, and Economy

Publication Link

https://ijmsbe.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Estimating Behavioral Agent-Based Models for Financial Markets through Machine Learning Surrogates

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Article

Created At

23 Jan 2023