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234857

On Bayesian Identification of Moving Average Models

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Last updated: 05 Jan 2025

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Abstract

The main objective of this study is to handle the identification problem for the moving average (MA) models from a Bayesian point of view. Two Bayesian approaches of identification, namely the direct and indirect approaches, are considered with two analytical approximations for the error term, namely Newbold and Broemeling-Shaarawy approximations. The two proposed techniques have been developed using each approximation and evaluated for MA models. The behavior of the Bayesian techniques has been checked and compared via a comprehensive simulation study. The simulation results show that performance of the direct and indirect techniques is affected by the approximation used, and the prior function. We have found that the direct technique seems to be more efficient than the indirect one. Moreover, the use of the Newbold approximation slightly improves the results more than the use of the Broemeling- Shaarawy   approximation.

DOI

10.21608/esju.2009.234857

Keywords

Posterior density function, Posterior probability mass function, Moving average (MA) models, Newbold approximation, Broemeling and shaarawy approximation, Direct Bayesian identification, indirect Bayesian identification

Volume

53

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

33828

Issue Date

2009-12-01

Receive Date

2022-05-04

Publish Date

2009-12-01

Page Start

106

Page End

124

Print ISSN

0542-1748

Online ISSN

2786-0086

Link

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/article_234857.html

Detail API

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=234857

Order

3

Type

Original Article

Type Code

1,914

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

The Egyptian Statistical Journal

Publication Link

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

On Bayesian Identification of Moving Average Models

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Article

Created At

23 Jan 2023