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استخدام التوزيعات الاحتمالية في توفيق بيانات المطالبات بالتطبيق على فرع تامين السيارات التکميلي

Article

Last updated: 28 Dec 2024

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Tags

مجالات العلوم التجارية وهى فروع الإدارة والمحاسبة والاقتصاد والعلوم السياسية والإحصاء التطبيقي والتأمين

Abstract

Models distributions of insurance claims is one of the main tasks of actuaries in insurance companies to estimate the price of insurance and loss reserves, fitting distribution of actual claims data is a problem closely related and not an easy task in Actuarial studies, mainly due to the nature of the claims data which characterized with a severe skew to the right. the research aims to use some of the probability distributions have the nature of skew positive, which is used widely in fitting insurance claims data, for example: (lognormal, weibull, fisk, lomax, logistic, paralogistic, inverse Gaussian, generalized extreme value distributions) and estimate the parameters of these distributions using the method of maximum likelihood to choose the best distribution of these distributions through several criteria (NLL, AIC, BIC).
The results showed that the generalized extreme value distribution is a better distribution fits insurance claims data which has less value BIC and AIC followed by fisk distribution followed by inverse Gaussian distribution. The researcher recommends to pricing comprehensive car insurance using generalized extreme value distribution and compare this pricing with the price used in the insurance company to come up with better pricing to determine a fair premium for the believers, enough to pay off the claims, achieve the margin profit to compete with other companies.

DOI

10.21608/alat.2016.218220

Keywords

Generalized extreme value distribution, NLL, AIC, BIC

Authors

First Name

جيهان

Last Name

مسعد المعداوي

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

کلية التجارة - جامعة المنصورة

Email

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City

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Orcid

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Volume

40

Article Issue

4

Related Issue

31071

Issue Date

2016-10-01

Receive Date

2016-10-08

Publish Date

2016-10-01

Page Start

119

Page End

141

Print ISSN

1110-2284

Online ISSN

2785-9703

Link

https://alat.journals.ekb.eg/article_218220.html

Detail API

https://alat.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=218220

Order

3

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

1,832

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

المجلة المصرية للدراسات التجارية

Publication Link

https://alat.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

استخدام التوزيعات الاحتمالية في توفيق بيانات المطالبات بالتطبيق على فرع تامين السيارات التکميلي

Details

Type

Article

Created At

23 Jan 2023