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205890

Modelling of COVID-19 Data Using Discrete Distribution

Article

Last updated: 05 Jan 2025

Subjects

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Tags

Business Administration

Abstract

In light of those current conditions that humanity is suffering from the outbreak of the Corona epidemic (COVID-19), which has caused an economic crisis for the entire world, and which also causes humanity, economic, and social losses. Which encouraged researchers in all fields to search and explore solutions to this epidemic. This is what prompted statisticians to provide probability distributions to describe this phenomenon, which is important in simulations and giving a certain probability of expected Incidence and deaths. Which helps in decision-making processes appropriate to the current situation. The purpose of this research is to find and classify the modeling of COVID-19 data by determining the optimal statistical modeling to evaluate the regular count of new COVID-19 fatalities, thus requiring discrete distributions. Some discrete models are checked and reviewed. A new discrete inverse Weibull distribution based on the discretization of survival has been reobtained. Probability mass function and the hazard rate is addressed. Discrete models are discussed based on the Maximum Likelihood estimate for parameters. A numerical analysis uses the regular count of new casualties in the countries of Angola, El Salvador, Estonia, and Greece. In-depth, the empirical findings are interpreted.

DOI

10.21608/dusj.2021.205890

Keywords

COVID-19, Hazard rate, Discrete distributions, Survival discretization, Maximum likelihood estimation

Authors

First Name

Ehab

Last Name

Almetwally

MiddleName

M.

Affiliation

Delta University of Science and Technology, Gamasa, Egypt

Email

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City

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Orcid

-

First Name

Sanku

Last Name

Dey

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Statistics, St. Anthony's College, Shillong, Meghalaya, India

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

4

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

29002

Issue Date

2021-04-01

Receive Date

2021-11-21

Publish Date

2021-04-01

Page Start

13

Page End

24

Print ISSN

2636-3046

Online ISSN

2636-3054

Link

https://dusj.journals.ekb.eg/article_205890.html

Detail API

https://dusj.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=205890

Order

2

Type

Review articles

Type Code

1,770

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Delta University Scientific Journal

Publication Link

https://dusj.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Modelling of COVID-19 Data Using Discrete Distribution

Details

Type

Article

Created At

23 Jan 2023