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205468

Proposed Framework for Predicting Stock Return Volatility Using Neural Network "An Applied Study on the Egyptian Stock Exchange

Article

Last updated: 05 Jan 2025

Subjects

-

Tags

Business Administration

Abstract

Purpose: the main purpose of the study is to determine the effect of both internal and external factors on stock returns volatility using different statistical methods, applied on Egyptian stock exchange.
Methodology: the researchers have compared the accuracy of (GLS Model, GARCH Model, and Neural Network) in predicting the stock return volatility to choose the most accurate one. Data was collected from the Egyptian Stock Exchange (EGYX 30) for the period of (2014 to 2017) on monthly basis.
Findings: The results of the study revealed that the Neural Network Model has proven be outperform the traditional models in the prediction of stock return volatility.
Originality: the study contributes to literature as it used Artificial Neural Network in two functions (Prediction of stock return volatility) and (Classification of the volatility to –high volatility and Low volatility). Also few studies concerned with stock return volatility in developing countries, especially Egypt.

DOI

10.21608/dusj.2019.205468

Keywords

Stock Return Volatility, artificial neural network, GARCH Model, GLS Model, Egyptian Stock Exchange

Authors

First Name

Osama

Last Name

EL-Ansary

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Commerce ,Cairo University, Giza, Egypt

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Nazeer

Last Name

Elshahat

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Commerce, Mansoura University

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Maha

Last Name

Metawea

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Business Administration, Faculty of Business Administration, Delta University for Science and Technology, Gamasa, Egypt

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

2

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

28903

Issue Date

2019-09-01

Receive Date

2021-11-18

Publish Date

2019-09-01

Page Start

46

Page End

57

Print ISSN

2636-3046

Online ISSN

2636-3054

Link

https://dusj.journals.ekb.eg/article_205468.html

Detail API

https://dusj.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=205468

Order

6

Type

Original research papers

Type Code

1,769

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Delta University Scientific Journal

Publication Link

https://dusj.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Proposed Framework for Predicting Stock Return Volatility Using Neural Network "An Applied Study on the Egyptian Stock Exchange

Details

Type

Article

Created At

23 Jan 2023