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149997

Challenges for Adopting Inflation Targeting Regime in Egypt

Article

Last updated: 27 Dec 2024

Subjects

-

Tags

الاقتصاد والعلوم السياسية

Abstract

Abstract This study intends to investigate challenges facing the CBE for adopting IT regime. Through exploiting the experience of CzechRepublic, Poland, and Brazil in their early days of adopting IT the study highlights the following challenges that are facing the CBE; (i) A more active role to be played by the CBE is needed to convince decision-making circuits inside the government for the adoption of IT. (ii) The CBE should be factually independent. (iii) Coordination between monetary policy and fiscal policy should be established so that the inflation target given to the CBE is determined to ensure the government's solvency. (iv) A satisfactory level of knowledge has to be acquired by the CBE concerning the following issues; the degree of the exchange rate pass-through effect, the level of real exchange rate, and both timing and effect of monetary transmission mechanisms. (v) Several questions are still unfulfilled; Which measurement of price level that will be targeted? What are variables that will be included in the objective function of the CBE? And what are relative weights that will be assigned to these variables? What is the model that fits the Egyptian economy? How would the CBE react to both supply shocks and asset-price bubbles? What is the equilibrium level of both real FX rate and property prices? How can the CBE detect deviations of both the actual real FX rate and actual property prices from their equilibrium levels in real time? Are the MPC members qualified enough to give adequate assessment of the risks of the forecasts and the associated decisions? (vi) Some institutional arrangements are urgently needed both to implement a household survey of inflation expectations and to improve and update the Egyptian statistics in order to meet the international criteria, especially that used by the IMF under the DQAF.

DOI

10.21608/zcom.2013.149997

Keywords

Keywords: Monetary policy, Inflation targeting regime, Adopting inflation targeting in Egypt

Authors

First Name

إبراهيم لطفي

Last Name

عوض

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

قسم الإقتصاد، کلية التجارة، جامعة الزقازيق، مصر

Email

-

City

الزقازيق

Orcid

-

Volume

35

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

18291

Issue Date

2013-07-01

Receive Date

2021-02-20

Publish Date

2013-07-01

Page Start

3

Page End

81

Print ISSN

1110-7731

Online ISSN

2735-4512

Link

https://zcom.journals.ekb.eg/article_149997.html

Detail API

https://zcom.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=149997

Order

4

Type

تجاریة کل ما یتعلق بالعلوم التجاریة

Type Code

1,572

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

مجلة البحوث التجارية

Publication Link

https://zcom.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Challenges for Adopting Inflation Targeting Regime in Egypt

Details

Type

Article

Created At

23 Jan 2023