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253867

تـأثير التغيرات المُناخية (درجات الحرارة والرطوبة والأمطار) على بعض المحاصيل الإستراتيجية في مصر (1997-2020)

Article

Last updated: 26 Dec 2024

Subjects

-

Tags

بحوث علمية متخصصة في الاقتصاد الزراعي.

Abstract

The research's issue is represented in the economic effects of climate changes on the production of some strategic crops in Egypt (wheat-rice-maize) and the average per capita share during the period (1966-2020), as Egypt suffers from food gap in these crops, which threatens food security and increases trade balance deficit
The results of the research are represented in measuring, analyzing data, wheat production was adversely affected by an increase in the minimum temperature by 1% over its average by 0.13%, equivalent to 635 thousand tons, at a value of 127 million dollars,also, the maize production was positively affected by an increase in both minimum temperature and rainfall rates by 1% over their average rates, by 3.1 and 5.01%, equivalent to 15519 and 25080 thousand tons, with a value of 6207 and 10032 million dollars. while climate changes did not affect rice production, they affected the area of wheat, rice and maize, each 1% increase led to an increase in production by 1.1, 1.01, 1.5 %, equivalent to 5371, 4008, and 7509 thousand tons, at a value of 1074, 1302, 3004 million dollars.
It was proven that the 1% increase in production faded against 1% increase in population with rice and maize, equivalent to 4, 5.1 million tons, at a value of 1285, 2054 million dollars.
Accordingly, it is recommended to adopt strategies and policies that support climate-smart agriculture to increase agricultural productivity. And incomes sustainably; adapt and build resilience to climate change; reduce and/or eliminate greenhouse gas emissions where possible

DOI

10.21608/meae.2022.143967.1066

Keywords

Climate changes, Strategic crops, Climate Smart Farming, Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions

Authors

First Name

Ahmed

Last Name

Ahmed Fathalla

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Cabinet of Ministers, Ministry of Environment, Egyptian Environmental Affairs Agency

Email

eeaaforest@gmail.com

City

Cairo

Orcid

-

First Name

Bahaa ElDin

Last Name

Morsi

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Ain Shams University

Email

bahaamorsy1950@gmail.com

City

Giza

Orcid

-

First Name

Eman

Last Name

Kadous

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Ain Shams University

Email

eman_amin@agr.asu.edu.eg

City

Cairo

Orcid

0000-0001-7774-7901

Volume

32

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

33584

Issue Date

2022-06-01

Receive Date

2022-06-10

Publish Date

2022-06-01

Page Start

652

Page End

667

Print ISSN

1110-6832

Online ISSN

2735-4040

Link

https://meae.journals.ekb.eg/article_253867.html

Detail API

https://meae.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=253867

Order

19

Type

أبحاث علمیة متخصصة فی الاقتصاد الزراعی

Type Code

1,466

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

المجلة المصرية للاقتصاد الزراعي

Publication Link

https://meae.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

تـأثير التغيرات المُناخية (درجات الحرارة والرطوبة والأمطار) على بعض المحاصيل الإستراتيجية في مصر (1997-2020)

Details

Type

Article

Created At

23 Jan 2023