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233753

Flash Floods Hazard Degrees Assessment Applying Multi-Attributes Utility Theory for Gulf of Suez Basins, Egypt

Article

Last updated: 23 Jan 2023

Subjects

-

Tags

Civil Engineering: structural, Geotechnical, reinforced concrete and s…nd sanitary engineering, Hydraulic, Railway, construction Management.

Abstract

Good management of flash floods requires accurate estimation for both the hazard degrees and flood risk maps. Morphological parameters greatly affect the strength of flood's hydrograph and accordingly the flash flood hazard degree. This study uses decision-making tools such as Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA) and/or Multi-Attribute Utility Theory (MAUT) to estimate the Gulf of Suez's flash flood hazard degree, Sinai Peninsula, Egypt. The MAUT was applied successfully in estimating the hazard degrees of 56 basins in the coastal zone of the Suez Gulf. Based on the resulted correlation between all hydro-morphological parameters, only six equal weight parameters were selected and used to calculate the hazard degree. The results showed that, about 40 % of the 56 basins have high or moderately high hazard degree. Values of the correlation factors between the hydro-morphological parameters and the resulted hazard degrees are ranged between 0.813 for basin's Sinuosity and 0.011 for Centroid Stream Slope. The weights of those parameters were non-linearly optimized to make the correlation of all chosen parameters with the hazard degree higher than or equal to the threshold value (0.6). Accordingly, percentage of basins with high or moderately high hazard degree have decreased to 32 %. Capability and validation of current model have been achieved using the damage information of some flood events in the last few decades. The comparison between current model's scenarios and flood events showed that, all the affected basins that had high or moderated high hazard degree are highly coincide with the real cases.

DOI

10.21608/jesaun.2022.59895.1030

Keywords

Multi-Attributes Utility Theory, Flash floods, morphological parameters, hazard degree, risk map

Authors

First Name

Shokry

Last Name

Abdelaziz

MiddleName

Mohamed Ahmed

Affiliation

Civil Eng. Dept., Faculty of Eng., El Mataria, Helwan University, Egypt

Email

sabdualazez@kau.edu.sa

City

Helwan

Orcid

0000-0003-2958-5834

First Name

Mohamed

Last Name

Gad

MiddleName

Ibraheem

Affiliation

Hydrology Dept., Desert Research Center, Cairo, Egypt,

Email

profmohamedgad2016@gmail.com

City

Cairo

Orcid

-

First Name

Hassan

Last Name

Ahmed

MiddleName

Safi Hemaid

Affiliation

Civil Engineering Dept.,Faculty of Eng., South Valley University, Qena, Egypt

Email

hassan_safi74@eng.svu.edu.eg

City

Qena

Orcid

0000-0002-7447-9451

Volume

50

Article Issue

3

Related Issue

32930

Issue Date

2022-05-01

Receive Date

2021-01-25

Publish Date

2022-05-01

Page Start

127

Page End

145

Print ISSN

1687-0530

Online ISSN

2356-8550

Link

https://jesaun.journals.ekb.eg/article_233753.html

Detail API

https://jesaun.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=233753

Order

3

Type

Research Paper

Type Code

1,438

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

JES. Journal of Engineering Sciences

Publication Link

https://jesaun.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

-

Details

Type

Article

Created At

23 Jan 2023