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125546

ANALYSIS AND MODELING OF TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS CAUSES FOR MAIN RURAL ROADS IN EGYPT

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Last updated: 04 Jan 2025

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Subjects

-

Tags

Civil Engineering: structural, Geotechnical, reinforced concrete and s…nd sanitary engineering, Hydraulic, Railway, construction Management.

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to investigate traffic accidents causes and major factors that would be the main reasons for accidents, and to develop a model for accidents on Main National Egyptian Rural Roads. Accidents models would help decision makers to develop the road network to be more safe and minimize the accidents rate. Models were calibrated using accidents records data collected from 19 rural roads from previous studies, and 7 rural roads from filed surveys in Assiut region, "General Authority for Roads & Bridges". The data was splittied in two different types of road sections in location and engineering properties, namely; "Agriculture roads undivided sections", "Desert roads undivided sections". Simple, Stepwise, and multiple regression analysis have been used to find the effect of each parameter on the accident rate value. Several functional forms are explored and tested in the calibration process. Before proceeding to the development of models, ANOVA statistical tests are conducted to establish whether there are any significant differences in the data used for models' calibration as a result of differences among the considered roads. The results indicated that exponential model formula represents the highest correlation for all road types .Average daily traffic (ADT), Shoulder width, pedestrian crossing and percentage of trucks have highest effects of traffic accidents on agriculture roads undivided sections, Shoulder width, Radius of horizontal curves and percentage of trucks have the highest effects of traffic accidents on desert roads undivided sections.

DOI

10.21608/jesaun.2010.125546

Keywords

accident, modeling, analysis, Road Safety, Rural road

Authors

First Name

Ahmed M.

Last Name

Ismail

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Civil engineering department, Assiut University, Assiut, Egypt

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

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First Name

Hassan Y.

Last Name

Ahmed

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Civil engineering department, Assiut University, Assiut, Egypt

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Mohamed Ahmed

Last Name

Owais

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Civil engineering department, Assiut University, Assiut, Egypt

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

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Volume

38

Article Issue

No 4

Related Issue

16876

Issue Date

2010-07-01

Receive Date

2010-03-30

Publish Date

2010-07-01

Page Start

895

Page End

909

Print ISSN

1687-0530

Online ISSN

2356-8550

Article File

JESAUN_Volume 38_Issue No 4_Pages 895-909.pdf

PDF . 768.9kB

Link

https://jesaun.journals.ekb.eg/article_125546.html

Detail API

https://jesaun.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=125546

Order

2

Type

Research Paper

Type Code

1,438

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

JES. Journal of Engineering Sciences

Publication Link

https://jesaun.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

ANALYSIS AND MODELING OF TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS CAUSES FOR MAIN RURAL ROADS IN EGYPT

Details

Type

Article

Created At

23 Jan 2023