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274124

Predicting the exchange rate of the Egyptian pound using neural networks

Article

Last updated: 26 Dec 2024

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Abstract

The analysis of the volatility in the exchange rate has long been a vital challenges and important topic in international finance. Because it is influenced by many factors and forces, while linear models are not able to capture nonlinear techniques and methods have been evolved in the last few decades for exchange rate prediction to overcome the limitations of the linear methods as well as the development of artificial intelligence, which has led to the development of alternative solutions utilizing non-linear modelling. This paper aims to use Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) to predict the value of the Egyptian pound in terms of US dollars, by depending on fundamental economic variables. The study concluded that the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) is 2.8%. This result indicates that neural networks is accurate by 97.2% in forecasting exchange rate depends on the macroeconomic variables.  

Keywords

exchange rate, Forecasting, Egyptian Pound, Artificial Neural Networks

Authors

First Name

Adel

Last Name

El-Mahdy

MiddleName

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Affiliation

Professor of economics, Helwan university

Email

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Orcid

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First Name

Omar

Last Name

Saker

MiddleName

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Affiliation

Professor of economics, Helwan university

Email

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City

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Orcid

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First Name

Ahmed

Last Name

Salah El-Shafei

MiddleName

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Affiliation

lecture of economics, higher institute of public administration and foreign trade

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City

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Orcid

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Volume

36

Article Issue

4

Related Issue

38210

Issue Date

2022-12-01

Receive Date

2022-12-14

Publish Date

2022-12-01

Page Start

125

Page End

151

Print ISSN

1110-2373

Online ISSN

2682-4876

Link

https://sjrbs.journals.ekb.eg/article_274124.html

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https://sjrbs.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=274124

Order

274,124

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

1,324

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

المجلة العلمية للبحوث والدراسات التجارية

Publication Link

https://sjrbs.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Predicting the exchange rate of the Egyptian pound using neural networks

Details

Type

Article

Created At

23 Jan 2023