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125698

The Causal Relationship between Interest Rate and Investment in Egypt: ARDL Approach for the period 1980-2018

Article

Last updated: 25 Dec 2024

Subjects

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Tags

الاقتصاد والمالية العامة

Abstract

Studying the role of interest rate to motivate investment has seen increasing interest worldwide, especially in developing economies. However, statistics have shown that investment in Egypt has been moderate during the period (1980-2018). Study data collected from the World Bank and International Monetary Fund databases. It also ensured that the time series were made balanced and interconnected, and then the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method used in the analysis. The empirical results indicate both, presence of long-run Cointegration between the investment and interest rate, and interest rate granger causes investment, which is our primary concern of this research.   The study recommends the Egyptian government reconsidering many of the general state policies, including investment policies, financial and administrative governance, and monetary policy that focuses on maintaining a balanced interest rate that improves and motivate the investment environment.

DOI

10.21608/caf.2020.125698

Keywords

Interest rate, investment, Causality test, ARDL, Bound Testing, VECM

Authors

First Name

Talaat Rashad Abdel Fattah

Last Name

Shama

MiddleName

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Affiliation

Al Azhar university

Email

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City

-

Orcid

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First Name

Saif Salam

Last Name

Al Hakimy

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Alhadidaa University, Yemen

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

40

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

18828

Issue Date

2020-03-01

Receive Date

2019-11-26

Publish Date

2020-03-01

Page Start

1

Page End

28

Print ISSN

1110-4716

Online ISSN

2682-4825

Link

https://caf.journals.ekb.eg/article_125698.html

Detail API

https://caf.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=125698

Order

9

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

التجارة والتمويل

Publication Link

https://caf.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

The Causal Relationship between Interest Rate and Investment in Egypt: ARDL Approach for the period 1980-2018

Details

Type

Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023