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208304

Geospatial Analysis of COVID-19 Spread in Cairo Governorate Using Geographic Information System

Article

Last updated: 25 Dec 2024

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Abstract

COVID-19 has caused a global public health crisis affecting most countries including Egypt Due to the widespread pandemic; the spread of COVID-19 has drawn increasing global attention. This study aims to analyze the reported Covid-19 cases by spatial statistical methods, exploring the geographical distribution patterns of the COVID-19 pandemic in Cairo from 14 February 2020 to 18 of May 2021. In order to better understand of the spread of this new virus, The spatial patterns of Covid-19 cumulative cases have been characterized by using ArcGIS ver. 10.3.1 based on spatial autocorrelation and cluster analysis using Global Moran's I (Moran, 1950), Local Moran's I and Getis-Ord Gi to explore the spatial gathering hotspots and cold spots of the COVID-19 pandemic .Up to 18 may 2021, Cairo Province had reported 79,130 Covid-19 cases. The top five districts with respect to incidence were Al Mouski (0.097/100000), Badr (0.088/100000), Qasr Al niel (0.088/100000), Al Gammalia (0.066/100000) and Al Zamalek (0.064/100000). Global Moran's I analysis results showed that the Morbidity rate, recovery and fatality of COVID19 was in the clustering pattern, and there was less than 1% likelihood that this clustering pattern could be the result of random chance. While local spatial correlation analysis showed that the value of 71 sheikhs belonging to the HH aggregation class.The Getis -OrdGi statistic was applied and the results showed that the clustering of high values (hot spots) for Morbidity  with a confidence level of 99% distributed in  eastern, southern and the northeast of Cairo.

DOI

10.21608/bsge.2021.208304

Keywords

COVID-19, GIS, Spatial autocorrelation, Hot/cold spots, Cairo

Authors

First Name

Shimaa

Last Name

Abd Elnaby

MiddleName

Elsayed

Affiliation

Department of Geography, Faculty of Arts, Alexandria University

Email

s.abdelnaby@alexu.edu.eg

City

Alexandria

Orcid

-

First Name

Asmaa

Last Name

Al qersh

MiddleName

Bdeer Ali

Affiliation

Department of Geography, Faculty of Arts, Alexandria University

Email

asmaaelkersh@gmail.com

City

Alexandria

Orcid

-

Volume

94

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

29315

Issue Date

2021-12-01

Receive Date

2021-12-08

Publish Date

2021-12-01

Page Start

24

Page End

43

Print ISSN

1110-5232

Online ISSN

2735-3036

Article File

BSGE_Volume 94_Issue 1_Pages 24-43.pdf

PDF . 954.4kB

Link

https://bsge.journals.ekb.eg/article_208304.html

Detail API

https://bsge.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=208304

Order

2

Type

Original Article

Type Code

1,269

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Bulletin de la Société de Géographie d'Egypte

Publication Link

https://bsge.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Geospatial Analysis of COVID-19 Spread in Cairo Governorate Using Geographic Information System

Details

Type

Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023