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258076

Estimating Claims Reserves in Insurance Industries Evidence from the Egyptian Market

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Last updated: 04 Jan 2025

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Abstract

Purpose - Claims reserve plays a crucial role for the insurance industry. Reserves enable the insurance company to meet its obligations towards the insurers whenever accidents happen. Reserves appear as an item on the company's balance sheet and is also necessary as a practical indicator for the insurance company's performance and premium calculation. In specific, estimating Incurred but Not Reported (IBNR) claim reserve is a key task for the actuary to put aside the necessary money to meet the company's obligations whenever needed. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the results of estimating reserves using the chain ladder method by employing different ways to calculate the development factor from year-to-year over the years following the occurrence of the accident.   Design/methodology/approach – In this paper, the author uses real data from one of the well-known insurance companies in Egypt to study the accuracy of the estimation of the claim's reserves over the period 2012-2020. The author applies the chain ladder method of for reserves estimation where the method is investigated in detail by applying a number of suggested approaches to calculate the development factor from year-to-year over the years following the occurrence of the accident.   Findings – The results show that there is no significant difference between the reserve estimation using different method of calculating the development factors.  

DOI

10.21608/cfdj.2023.258076

Keywords

Reserve estimation, IBNR, Chain Ladder Method, cumulative sum, Developing Factor, Reserve Adjustment

Authors

First Name

Mohamed

Last Name

Moaait

MiddleName

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Affiliation

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City

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Orcid

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Volume

4

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

36526

Issue Date

2023-01-01

Receive Date

2022-06-11

Publish Date

2023-01-01

Page Start

967

Page End

984

Print ISSN

2682-3403

Online ISSN

2682-4531

Link

https://cfdj.journals.ekb.eg/article_258076.html

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https://cfdj.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=258076

Order

32

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

1,242

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

المجلة العلمية للدراسات والبحوث المالية والتجارية

Publication Link

https://cfdj.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Estimating Claims Reserves in Insurance Industries Evidence from the Egyptian Market

Details

Type

Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023