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258071

Can Exchange Rates and Interest Rates Affect Macroeconomic Indicators (inflation, unemployment & economic growth)? The evidence from Egypt

Article

Last updated: 04 Jan 2025

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Tags

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Abstract

The study analyzed the effects of both the exchange rates and the interest rates simultaneously on the selected indicators of the macroeconomic performance in Egypt over the period from 1991 to 2020. And in order to do that, the Engle-Granger two-step Co-integration model is applied to estimate the short and long-term relationships between variables. And it was found that the exchange rate & the interest rate, each one of them in the presence of the other, had no effect on the unemployment rate and economic growth rate. Although the interest rate and exchange rate, each one of them in the presence of the other, had an effect on the inflation rate in the long run. And only the interest rate, in the presence of exchange rate, had an effect on the inflation rate, while the exchange rate, in the presence of interest rate, had no effect on inflation in the short run. Since increasing both the exchange rate and interest rate by one unit increased inflation rates by 0.510 and 0.892, respectively, in the long run. And in the short run, increasing interest rates by 1 unit increased inflation by 2.161.

DOI

10.21608/cfdj.2023.258071

Keywords

Economic growth, Unemployment, inflation targeting, exchange rate, Interest rate

Authors

First Name

رغده سعيد احمد

Last Name

سعيد احمد

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

جامعة 6 اکتوبر

Email

raghdanadim@yahoo.com

City

القاهره

Orcid

-

Volume

4

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

36526

Issue Date

2023-01-01

Receive Date

2022-06-10

Publish Date

2023-01-01

Page Start

849

Page End

888

Print ISSN

2682-3403

Online ISSN

2682-4531

Link

https://cfdj.journals.ekb.eg/article_258071.html

Detail API

https://cfdj.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=258071

Order

28

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

1,242

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

المجلة العلمية للدراسات والبحوث المالية والتجارية

Publication Link

https://cfdj.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Can Exchange Rates and Interest Rates Affect Macroeconomic Indicators (inflation, unemployment & economic growth)? The evidence from Egypt

Details

Type

Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023