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255771

IMPACT OF POPULATION GROWTH ON THE MOST IMPORTANT ECONOMIC VARIABLES IN EGYPT

Article

Last updated: 25 Dec 2024

Subjects

-

Tags

Agricultural Economics and Rural Development

Abstract

Population increase represents one of the most serious huge problems that trouble the Egyptian economy and impede development in all fields. The period (2000-2018) witnessed the growth rate of the consumption side of food commodities reach about 5%, compared to about 3% for the production side, which negatively affected the value and size of food commodities. The food gap, the high gap in the national and agricultural trade balance, and then the increase in dependence on the global market in providing our main food needs. Despite the efforts made to reduce this problem, the population growth rate is still high, hence the problem in studying the impact of population growth on National economic variables in Egypt, during the period (2000-2018). The results confirmed the existence of a positive, statistically confirmed relationship between the population as an independent variable in one million people and the study variables as dependent variables, as the increase in the population in Egypt by about one million leads to an increase in national income, national consumption, gross domestic product, real national investments, national imports and the government agreement amounted to LE. 83.9, 123.3, 33.4, 3.7, 123.3, and 29.1 billion, respectively. The results of the double logarithmic picture also indicated that increasing the population by about 10% increases the values ​​of these variables by about 54%, 70%, 38%, 30.1%, 66%, 75% for the same variables, and in the same order during the period (2000-2018). The research recommends increasing the volume of investments directed to national and agricultural projects with the development of programs to reduce the population problem.

DOI

10.21608/sinjas.2022.148649.1128

Keywords

national income, national consumption, Per capita, population growth

Authors

First Name

ِAbdelazeez

Last Name

ِMahmoud

MiddleName

M.A.

Affiliation

Dept. Admin., Legal and Environ. Sci., Arish Univ., Egypt.

Email

dreem.abdelazeez@gmail.com

City

North Sinai

Orcid

-

First Name

Ragab

Last Name

Hefny

MiddleName

M.

Affiliation

Dept. Econ. and Rural Develop., Fac. Environ. Agric. Sci., Arish Univ., Egypt.

Email

hefny.ragab@yahoo.com

City

Giza

Orcid

0000-0002-1280-8512

First Name

Raed

Last Name

Elnasser

MiddleName

Abd

Affiliation

Dept. Econ. and Rural Develop., Fac. Environ. Agric. Sci., Arish Univ., Egypt.

Email

raed@aru.edu.eg

City

North Sinai

Orcid

-

Volume

11

Article Issue

4

Related Issue

36483

Issue Date

2022-08-01

Receive Date

2022-07-04

Publish Date

2022-08-01

Page Start

765

Page End

778

Print ISSN

2314-6079

Online ISSN

2682-3527

Link

https://sinjas.journals.ekb.eg/article_255771.html

Detail API

https://sinjas.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=255771

Order

11

Type

Researches

Type Code

2,342

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Sinai Journal of Applied Sciences

Publication Link

https://sinjas.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

IMPACT OF POPULATION GROWTH ON THE MOST IMPORTANT ECONOMIC VARIABLES IN EGYPT

Details

Type

Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023