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183611

A Proposed Methodology for Medium-Range Maximum Demand Anticipation and Application.

Article

Last updated: 22 Jan 2023

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Subjects

-

Tags

Electrical Engineering

Abstract

One to three years anticipation of monthly and weakly peak demand are required to: prepare maintenance schedules, develop power pooling agreements, select peaking capacity and provide data required certain reliability coordinating centers. The total monthly forecast of the maximum demand (m.d.) is deduced and computed along the future three years till April 1981. This is accomplished for a one of vital important electrical network in EGYPT. The anticipation is executed for El-Mehalla El-Kubra City network has an industrial and residential daily load characteristics Direct monthly m.d. forecasting is executed by separate treatment of non-weather (NW) and weather-induced (W) DEMAND. The forecast required is derived through this paper by two methodologies: the probabilistic extrapolation – correlation and that suggested by the authors Date collected for our work is the daily and monthly data for more reliable determination of weather load models. Complete analysis, discussions and comments on the results are exhibited. An entire comparison reveals an acceptable and reasonable percentage error obtained on applying the proposed methodology.

DOI

10.21608/bfemu.2021.183611

Authors

First Name

Mahmoud

Last Name

Kandil

MiddleName

Saber Ahmed

Affiliation

Head of Electrical Engineering Department., Faculty of Engineering., El-Mansoura University., Mansoura., Egypt.

Email

-

City

Mansoura

Orcid

-

First Name

M.

Last Name

El-Maghraby

MiddleName

H.

Affiliation

Assistant Professor., Electrical Engineering Department., Faculty of Engineering., El-Mansoura University., Mansoura., Egypt.

Email

-

City

Mansoura

Orcid

-

First Name

H.

Last Name

El-Dosouky

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Electrical Engineer at Electrical Distribution Company at Tanta.

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

3

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

26439

Issue Date

1978-12-01

Receive Date

1978-10-10

Publish Date

1978-12-01

Page Start

49

Page End

61

Print ISSN

1110-0923

Online ISSN

2735-4202

Article File

BFEMU_Volume 3_Issue 2_Pages 49-61.pdf

PDF . 125.9kB

Link

https://bfemu.journals.ekb.eg/article_183611.html

Detail API

https://bfemu.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=183611

Order

4

Type

Research Studies

Type Code

1,205

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

MEJ. Mansoura Engineering Journal

Publication Link

https://bfemu.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

-

Details

Type

Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023