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162609

Quantitative Inference of Decision Making Strategies under Inherent Knowledge Uncertainties.

Article

Last updated: 04 Jan 2025

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Tags

Electrical Engineering

Abstract

In this paper a model and its associated software system, that is being used for designation of optimal strategies are presented. Obtained optimal strategies are employed by decision markers to safety react to various conditions. The fact that decision markers are expected to take actions according to given observations is discussed along with emphasizing the relationships between these observations and the underlying states of nature that caused them. This is a many-to-many relation and care must be taken to avoid unreliable of the real cause or causes a observed situation.
The inherent uncertainties in the assessment process have been identified and accounted for during the Iosses estimation phases. These uncertainties are partially attributed to limitations in the decision marker's knowledge and partially due to the obscured problem nature.
The software application to a real system is illustrated. The application has been chosen to model the operations of an existing information center as an example of a wide class of similar systems. The application aimed at experimenting the phases of the software system and identifying the merits of using such quantitative models in furnishing knowledge gaps.  

DOI

10.21608/bfemu.2021.162609

Authors

First Name

Shawkat

Last Name

Guirguis

MiddleName

Kamal

Affiliation

Institute of Graduate Studies & Research., Alexandria University., Egypt.

Email

-

City

Alexandria

Orcid

-

First Name

Mohamed

Last Name

El-Raey

MiddleName

Ezz El-Din

Affiliation

Institute of Graduate Studies & Research., Alexandria University., Egypt.

Email

-

City

Alexandria

Orcid

-

First Name

Essam

Last Name

Aly

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Statistics Department., Alexandria Customs Computer Center., Alexandria., Egypt.

Email

-

City

Alexandria

Orcid

-

Volume

20

Article Issue

4

Related Issue

23694

Issue Date

1995-12-01

Receive Date

1995-10-11

Publish Date

2021-12-01

Page Start

48

Page End

60

Print ISSN

1110-0923

Online ISSN

2735-4202

Article File

BFEMU_Volume 20_Issue 4_Pages 48-60.pdf

PDF . 1.1MB

Link

https://bfemu.journals.ekb.eg/article_162609.html

Detail API

https://bfemu.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=162609

Order

5

Type

Research Studies

Type Code

1,205

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

MEJ. Mansoura Engineering Journal

Publication Link

https://bfemu.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Quantitative Inference of Decision Making Strategies under Inherent Knowledge Uncertainties.

Details

Type

Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023