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146696

On Forecasting with Blind Data.

Article

Last updated: 22 Jan 2023

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Subjects

-

Tags

Production Engineering and Mechanical Design

Abstract

The author used the term blind data to express the data which can't be directly extrapolated or managed in other ways. Such data almost exist in two forms the distorted data and multi-folded data. The first appears when the system is subjected to uncontrolled environment and the second appears when the output curve consists of folds-seem to be cycles having equal periods along the time horizon such as the electricity demand. This paper investigates, by using simulation, a forecasting method developed earlier by the author for distorted data and proposed another fore casting method can be applied for hourly and half-hourly forecasting of electricity demand. An existing demand curve is used to explain the logic of the latter method, which in turn can be extended to the cases that have a behavior similar to the electricity demand. 

DOI

10.21608/bfemu.2021.146696

Authors

First Name

Hassan

Last Name

Soltan

MiddleName

Ali

Affiliation

Production and Mechanical Design Engineering Department.,. Faculty of Engineering., El-Mansoura University., Mansoura 35510, Egypt.

Email

hasolan@hotmail.com

City

Mansoura

Orcid

-

Volume

25

Article Issue

3

Related Issue

21255

Issue Date

2000-09-01

Receive Date

2000-07-11

Publish Date

2021-02-05

Page Start

28

Page End

34

Print ISSN

1110-0923

Online ISSN

2735-4202

Article File

BFEMU_Volume 25_Issue 3_Pages 28-34.pdf

PDF . 89.7kB

Link

https://bfemu.journals.ekb.eg/article_146696.html

Detail API

https://bfemu.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=146696

Order

9

Type

Research Studies

Type Code

1,205

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

MEJ. Mansoura Engineering Journal

Publication Link

https://bfemu.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

-

Details

Type

Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023