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129434

Traffic Accident Analysis & Modelling for Upper Egypt Rural Roads.

Article

Last updated: 22 Jan 2023

Subjects

-

Tags

Civil Engineering

Abstract

In this research, analysis and modelling of accident records collected on Upper Egypt rural roads was performed. Accidents models are calibrated using the application of MATLAB computer program Version (6.1). The models are calibrated using accidents records collected during the study of "Safely and Protection of Public Transport on The Rural Roads in Crypt" that was provided by the "Development research and Technological Planning Center" (DRTPC). four different types of road sections, namely: "stranght road section in both residential areas and unoccupied areas", "curved road section in both or residential areas and unoccupied areas" were considered within this research. Simple, Stepwise. and multiple regression analysis have been used to the effect of each parameter on the accident rate value. Correlation values for different mathematical formulations; hncar, logarithmic, power, and exponential regression models were examined. Multiple regression analysis has shown that power model represents the highest correlation for straight and curved road sections in residential areas. While, the linear model presents the highest correlation for straight road section and curved section in unoccupied areas. In general, the results indicated that accident rate is inversely correlated to shoulder with and is proportionally correlated to number of culrances to the road, in percentage of trucks. 

DOI

10.21608/bfemu.2020.129434

Keywords

Traffic accidents, Accidents Rate, Human Factors, Road Factors, Environmental factors

Authors

First Name

Hassan

Last Name

Ahmed

MiddleName

Y.

Affiliation

Highway Eny., Civil Eng. Dept. Assuit Univ.

Email

youness1955@yahoo.com

City

Assuit

Orcid

-

First Name

Ayman

Last Name

Othman

MiddleName

M.

Affiliation

Highway Eng, Civil Eng. Dept. South Valley Univ

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Amr

Last Name

Wahaballa

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Civil Eng. Dept.., South Valley Univ.

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

31

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

19223

Issue Date

2006-06-01

Receive Date

2006-04-11

Publish Date

2021-06-01

Page Start

1

Page End

10

Print ISSN

1110-0923

Online ISSN

2735-4202

Link

https://bfemu.journals.ekb.eg/article_129434.html

Detail API

https://bfemu.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=129434

Order

1

Type

Research Studies

Type Code

1,205

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

MEJ. Mansoura Engineering Journal

Publication Link

https://bfemu.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

-

Details

Type

Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023