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194249

Predictors of deterioration of mild cases with COVID-19 during the third wave

Article

Last updated: 25 Dec 2024

Subjects

-

Tags

Infectious diseases

Abstract

Background: The global pandemic of corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) still growing and its death toll has been progressing massively as well disregarding the human and financial resources. This necessitates early detection of severe cases and treats them promptly. Thus, in this study, we aimed at identification of predictors of deterioration of mild cases of COVID-19. Methods: In this case control study, we included 137 subjects with confirmed COVID-19 from Suez Canal University Hospital. Baseline characteristics, laboratory and radiological data were documented. These variables were compared between those who witnessed deterioration (cases) and those who did not (control). Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify predictors of deterioration. Results: Fifteen out of 137 patients experienced clinical deterioration. Age, marital status, smoking status, diabetes mellitus (DM), hypertension, chronic pulmonary disease and chronic liver disease (CLD), and high mean of computed topography (CT score) were more prevalent among deteriorated patients; nevertheless, anosmia and loss of taste were characteristic of non-deteriorated cases. The latter group had relatively low mean lymphocytes, neutrophils/lymphocytes ratio (N/L ratio), albumin, and high mean of inflammatory markers. Logistic regression revealed that only diabetes, chronic liver disease, albumin, LDH, CT score were significant predictors of deterioration.Analysis of the receiver operating characteristic curve revealed that CT score was the most sensitive and specific indicator for prediction of deterioration. Conclusions: Many clinical data, laboratory and radiological features were more prominent in deteriorated cases, but DM, CLD, albumin, LDH and CT score were significant predictors of deterioration.

DOI

10.21608/mid.2021.88427.1178

Keywords

COVID 19, predictors, mild

Authors

First Name

Mohamed

Last Name

Aboelmagd

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Endemic and infectious diseases, Faculty of medicine, Suez Canal University, Ismailia, Egypt

Email

aboelmagd_tm@yahoo.com

City

Ismailia

Orcid

0000-0002-0466-8628

First Name

Mariam

Last Name

Hassan

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Internal medicine, Ahmed Maher Teaching Hospital, Cairo, Egypt

Email

mariamdarweesh11@gmail.com

City

Suez

Orcid

-

First Name

Fatma Rageh

Last Name

Mohamed

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of infectious diseases, gastroenterology and hepatology, Faculty of medicine, Suez University, Suez, Egypt

Email

frageh2002@hotmail.com

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Nageh

Last Name

Louis

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Endemic and infectious diseases, Faculty of medicine, Suez Canal University, Ismailia, Egypt

Email

dr_nageh_2010@yahoo.com

City

ismailia

Orcid

0000-0003-1026-669x

Volume

2

Article Issue

4

Related Issue

28168

Issue Date

2021-11-01

Receive Date

2021-07-30

Publish Date

2021-11-01

Page Start

651

Page End

661

Print ISSN

2682-4132

Online ISSN

2682-4140

Link

https://mid.journals.ekb.eg/article_194249.html

Detail API

https://mid.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=194249

Order

8

Type

Original Article

Type Code

1,157

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Microbes and Infectious Diseases

Publication Link

https://mid.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Predictors of deterioration of mild cases with COVID-19 during the third wave

Details

Type

Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023