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194397

The Future of the Egyptian Fish Exports under the Local & International Changes

Article

Last updated: 04 Jan 2025

Subjects

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Tags

Fisheries Extension and Economics

Abstract

The research problem indicates that despite the importance of the Egyptian fish exports and the existence of many components which support its competitive attitude in the international markets but commodity and geographical concentration for the Egyptian fish exports have been noticed over the last few years. These points out to the importance of identifying the developments influencing Egypt's fish exports and forecasting its future. The research aimed mainly at forecasting the Egyptian fish exports so as to propose a group of policies and mechanisms suitable for developing these exports and increase their geographical and commodity variations from various fish varieties. By studying the species distribution for the Egyptian fish exports, it became clear that the most important exports of the fish varieties are the fresh, chilled, and frozen fish followed by the various types of shrimps, crustacean and Mollusca then comes the processed fish (frozen, salted, or cut & packaged) in addition to a limited contribution of live and ornamental fish exports. By presenting the most important features of the geographical distribution of the Egyptian fish exports for the average period (2005 – 2020) at the level of the countries, the most important countries imported the Egyptian fish at the Arab level is Lebanon whereas the most important countries at the European level was Italy, and it became clear that there is a large geographical concentration in the Egyptian fish Through forecasting the expected future quantity of the Egyptian fish exports for Period (2021-2025) ranged between 47.3 thousand tons as a minimum in 2020 and 60 thousand tons as a maximum limit in 2025. The forecasting values, ranged through in the ARIMA model between 58.4 thousand tons as a minimum limit in 2020 and 85.5 thousand tons as a maximum limit in 2025. The forecasted values using the Simultaneous equations model ranged between 52.8 thousand tons as a minimum limit in 2020 and 74.7 thousand tons as a maximum limit in 2025.

DOI

10.21608/asfr.2021.88737.1018

Keywords

governmental policies, Geographical distribution, international blocs, fish exports, Imports

Authors

First Name

Abd Al-Azeim

Last Name

Mostafa

MiddleName

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Affiliation

Department of Agricultural Economics – Faculty of Agriculture - Fayoum University

Email

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City

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Orcid

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First Name

Ashraf

Last Name

Youness

MiddleName

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Affiliation

Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Fish Resources, Suez University, Suez, Egypt

Email

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City

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Orcid

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First Name

Mohamed

Last Name

Al-Shahid

MiddleName

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Affiliation

Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Fish Resources, Suez University, Suez, Egypt

Email

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City

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Orcid

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First Name

Ragab

Last Name

Ali

MiddleName

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Affiliation

PhD Student at Human Development and Economics, Faculty of Fish Resources, Suez University, Suez, Egypt

Email

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City

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Orcid

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Volume

2

Article Issue

0

Related Issue

26908

Issue Date

2021-12-01

Receive Date

2021-08-01

Publish Date

2021-12-01

Page Start

23

Page End

34

Print ISSN

2682-4086

Online ISSN

2682-4108

Link

https://asfr.journals.ekb.eg/article_194397.html

Detail API

https://asfr.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=194397

Order

4

Type

Original Article

Type Code

1,146

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Aquatic Science and Fish Resources (ASFR)

Publication Link

https://asfr.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

The Future of the Egyptian Fish Exports under the Local & International Changes

Details

Type

Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023