Beta
271057

Bent cable Regression of Normally Distributed Data Applied to the Fifth Covid-19 Wave in Egypt

Article

Last updated: 24 Dec 2024

Subjects

-

Tags

-

Abstract

The bent-cable model is used to describe the fifth Covid-19 wave in Egypt The data are normally distributed but rightly skewed The model comprises two linear segments, joined smoothly by a quadratic bend. The class of bent cables includes, as a limiting case, the popular piecewise-linear model (with a sharp kink), otherwise known as the broken stick. Associated with bent-cable regression is the estimation of the bend width parameter, through which the abruptness of the underlying transition may be assessed. We present worked the recorded fifth Covid-19 Wave in Egypt to demonstrate the regularity and irregularity of bent-cable regression encountered in finite-sample settings. We also presented a new method to determine the two inflection points by drawing a line from the CTP to the lowest point in each side of the curve, the points of intersection between the drawn lines and the real data will be the points of inflection. The validity of the suggested method is validated. Under such conditions, the least-squares estimators are shown (i) to be consistent, and (ii) to asymptotically follow a multivariate normal distribution. Hence the least-squares estimators are used to analysis the considered data

DOI

10.21608/jsst.2022.173247.1520

Keywords

normal distribution, bent-cable, critical time point, transition points

Authors

First Name

سمر أحمد حلمي عبد الغني

Last Name

أبو المعاطي

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

قسم الاحصاء والرياضيات والتامين کلية التجارة جامعة بورسعيد

Email

blue_arkedia@hotmail.com

City

بورسعيد

Orcid

0000-0000-1950-7808

Volume

23

Article Issue

4

Related Issue

37017

Issue Date

2022-10-01

Receive Date

2022-11-06

Publish Date

2022-10-01

Page Start

202

Page End

221

Print ISSN

2090-5327

Online ISSN

2682-3543

Link

https://jsst.journals.ekb.eg/article_271057.html

Detail API

https://jsst.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=271057

Order

8

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

1,048

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

مجلة البحوث المالية والتجارية

Publication Link

https://jsst.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Bent cable Regression of Normally Distributed Data Applied to the Fifth Covid-19 Wave in Egypt

Details

Type

Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023