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136209

CLIMATE CHANGE AND ECONOMIC FACTORS WHICH AFFECT ON WHEAT CROP PRODUCTIVITY IN EGYPT

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Last updated: 24 Dec 2024

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Abstract

Egyptian what represents the most important winter crop and the bread produced from it is the important commodities for Egyptian people in daily food. Egypt imports about 9.95 million tons for facing the gap between consumption and production which is about 9.64 million tons in 2016. Subsidy represented at least 70% of the value of food subsidies which over 22.442 billion Egyptian pounds in 2016. The study aimed to measure the impact of the general equation for the climate factors (Maximum Temperature, minimum temperature, and the average relative humidity) in the growing months of wheat crop. The study also determined the relationship between climatic factor, the critical month, and the yield, by measuring the economic impacts of a climatic factor with the yield on the farm level and national level. The results from measuring the relationship between the yield of wheat and minimum temperature showed that each increase in minimum temperature with one degree leads to a decrease in the yield with 0.11 per feedan, with statistical significance, T calculated was -4.37, while determination coefficient indicated to around 42% of the changes in the yield due to the changes in minimum temperature in April. Results showed also there are some scenarios showed the effect of minimum temperature changing on the yield, which made effects on revenues and quantity and value of imports. Finally the study recommended the importance of collecting and analyzing climate data at the level of the districts, governorates and the republic, while making them available to researchers, Change the crop map of different crops in the light of changes in climatic factors or those expected to occur and Preparing programs to cultivate the varieties of crops that are resistant to heat tolerance and that the financing of these programs is sufficient to accelerate the emergence of expected new varie

DOI

10.21608/ejar.2018.136209

Keywords

Climate Change, wheat crop

Authors

First Name

MOHAMED M>

Last Name

ABD EL-AZIZ

MiddleName

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Affiliation

Central Laboratory for Agricultural Climate, ARC, Giza

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Volume

96

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

19840

Issue Date

2018-07-01

Receive Date

2019-02-26

Publish Date

2018-07-01

Page Start

771

Page End

785

Print ISSN

1110-6336

Online ISSN

2812-4936

Link

https://ejar.journals.ekb.eg/article_136209.html

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https://ejar.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=136209

Order

28

Type

Original Article

Type Code

1,041

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Egyptian Journal of Agricultural Research

Publication Link

https://ejar.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

CLIMATE CHANGE AND ECONOMIC FACTORS WHICH AFFECT ON WHEAT CROP PRODUCTIVITY IN EGYPT

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Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023