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91944

Exchange Rate Volatility and Tourism Stock Prices: Evidence from Egypt

Article

Last updated: 04 Jan 2025

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Tags

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Abstract

Tourism is a key stimulator of economic growth and foreign currency in Egypt. As an export sector, it could affect and be affected by changes in exchange rate. This paper investigates the dynamic relationship between exchange rate and tourism stock prices and examines the effect of exchange rate volatility on tourism stock prices in the Egyptian Exchange (EGX). Exchange rate is proxied by the USD/EGP official values. Granger causality test and ARCH/GARCH models are employed. Results provide an evidence of a unidirectional causal relationship between the tested variables from exchange rate to tourism stock price. The estimations of the GARCH model reveal that exchange rate variance accelerates stock price return variance, and depreciation in the EGP against USD enhances tourism stock performance. Findings provide decision-makers, financial managers, and investors with a better understanding of how exchange rate volatility affects the stock performance of tourism companies in the EGX, and offer researchers new directions for future research.

DOI

10.21608/jaauth.2019.91944

Keywords

exchange rate, tourism companies, Stock price, GARCH, Egypt

Authors

First Name

Nagla

Last Name

Harb Sayed Ahmed

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Alexandria University

Email

naglaalex40@gmail.com

City

Alexandria

Orcid

-

Volume

17

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

13821

Issue Date

2019-12-01

Receive Date

2020-05-26

Publish Date

2019-12-01

Page Start

55

Page End

68

Print ISSN

1687-1863

Online ISSN

2682-4612

Link

https://jaauth.journals.ekb.eg/article_91944.html

Detail API

https://jaauth.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=91944

Order

5

Type

Original Article

Type Code

997

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Journal of Association of Arab Universities for Tourism and Hospitality

Publication Link

https://jaauth.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Exchange Rate Volatility and Tourism Stock Prices: Evidence from Egypt

Details

Type

Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023