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219952

Principal Component Analysis for the Egyptian Economic Growth Under the Government’s Vision 2030

Article

Last updated: 04 Jan 2025

Subjects

-

Tags

Communication Technology
Information Sciences

Abstract

Under the Vision 2030, Egyptian economy is planned to be balanced, knowledge-based, competitive, and diversified. A knowledge-based economy depends on knowledge, information, and high skills that substantially contribute to economic growth and innovation in services in advanced economies. Economies characterized by knowledge-based activities support a significant share of GDP growth. Thereby, identifying components of knowledge-based economy that could help approaching the Vision 2030 is very important. In this paper, six pillars for knowledge-based economy were selected: education, innovation, information and communication technology, development, employment, and human capital. As each pillar contains many indicators, we follow the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to reduce predictors' dimensions. Results of the PCA show that, out of 35 variables, only 22 are highly affecting the GDP. The first principal component explains about 88% of the variance. Principal Component Regression (PCR) is built to predict the effect of these indicators on the GDP. The predictive performance of the PCR model is assessed following the cross-validation technique. Results reveal that, the minimal Mean Squared Error of Prediction (MSEP) could be reached at the first PC. Additionally, the PCR model explains most of the variability of the response data around its mean (R-squared estimated as 0.99).

DOI

10.21608/ijimct.2021.49854.1008

Keywords

education, Innovation, Employment, Information and Communication Technology, Principal component analysis

Authors

First Name

Heba

Last Name

Ezzat

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Department of Socio-Computing, Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Cairo, Egypt

Email

hebaezzat@cu.edu.eg

City

Cairo

Orcid

0000-0002-0786-8000

Volume

3

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

24744

Issue Date

2021-12-01

Receive Date

2020-11-29

Publish Date

2021-12-01

Page Start

110

Page End

129

Print ISSN

2682-2105

Online ISSN

2682-2881

Link

https://ijimct.journals.ekb.eg/article_219952.html

Detail API

https://ijimct.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=219952

Order

4

Type

Original Article

Type Code

975

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

The International Journal of Informatics, Media and Communication Technology

Publication Link

https://ijimct.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Principal Component Analysis for the Egyptian Economic Growth Under the Government’s Vision 2030

Details

Type

Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023