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260530

Financialization and external debts in the MENA region: Dynamic forecasting of Egypt’s external debts

Article

Last updated: 04 Jan 2025

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Abstract

Considering the growing exposure of the financialization concept, the literature has shown the financialization of developing and emerging economies (DEEs) from different aspects. One of these aspects is the increasing capability of DEEs' governments to borrow and be heavily dependent on financial markets. Therefore, this study aim to explore the conceptual framework of financialization, to examines the relationship between financialization and external debts in the Middle East and North Africa region (MENA). The study likewise attempted to forecast the value of Egypt's external debt stocks as one of the DEEs' countries from 2020 to 2024; using the ARIMA model; to demonstrate financialization.   The study concludes that there is massive increase in external and government debts in the MENA region within the period from 2011 to 2019 as a feature of financialization and the amplified dependence on the financial markets. Furthermore, it has been concluded that Egypt's external debts are expected to rise from 2020 to 2024.    

DOI

10.21608/jsec.2022.260530

Keywords

Financialization, Financial Markets, Globalization, Liberalization, capital markets, Emerging economies, developing economies, external debts, government debts, financial instability, ARIMA Model

Authors

First Name

Sherine

Last Name

Boshra Ghaly

MiddleName

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Affiliation

Sadat Academy for Management Sciences

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Volume

52

Article Issue

3

Related Issue

36801

Issue Date

2022-10-01

Receive Date

2022-02-09

Publish Date

2022-10-01

Page Start

513

Page End

540

Print ISSN

2636-2562

Link

https://jsec.journals.ekb.eg/article_260530.html

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https://jsec.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=260530

Order

14

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

914

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

المجلة العلمية للإقتصاد و التجارة

Publication Link

https://jsec.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Financialization and external debts in the MENA region: Dynamic forecasting of Egypt’s external debts

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Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023