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44611

EVALUATION AND VALIDATION OF TEB-CAST FORECAST SYSTEM TO MANAGE TOMATO EARLY BLIGHT IN EGYPT

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Last updated: 04 Jan 2025

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Abstract

Tomato (Lycopersicon esculentum Mill.) is considered one of the main vegetable cash crop for both local consumption and exportation in Egypt. The most important disease infect tomato plants is early blight caused by Alternaria solani which also attacks several nightshade crops including potato and eggplant. Under favourable weather conditions the disease cycle takes about one week.This rapid reproduction cycle can expand the disease so rapidly and completely defoliate tomato plants causing a severe losses in yield. Therefore, a 7-10 day spray schedule with protecting fungicides is a traditional and effective system to control tomato early blight. Consumer concern about agro-chemical residues is strong in Egypt, and particularly relevant for fresh consumed products, including tomato. This consumer concern for food safety and the environment has lead to certified schemes for good agricultural practices such as disease forecast. A computerized forecast model named by the authors ( TEB-Cast ) is an integral linking based on short term observations over several tomato growing seasons ,  analyzing the correlation between 24 hour microclimate data collected throughout real time automatic Agro-weather station ( Adcon Telemetry A733 AddWave ) , was evaluated and validated under both computer lab. ( workstation ) and open field in 2005 and 2006 growing seasons .The results indicated  that TEB-Cast forecast model correctly timed the first spray and  the disease daily infection potential  and significantly reduced the number of sprays compared with the routine schedule fungicide applications in both 2005 and 2006 growing seasons respectively. The basic roles of system analysis  for model evaluation  and validation are discussed in details.
 
 

DOI

10.21608/jpd.2009.44611

Keywords

Evaluation, validation, teb-cast, forecast system, manage tomato, early blight, Egypt

Authors

First Name

Sahar

Last Name

Afifi

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Plant Pathology Research Institute, Agricultural Research Center, Giza, Egypt.

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City

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Orcid

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First Name

Mohsen

Last Name

Afifi

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Plant Pathology Research Institute, Agricultural Research Center, Giza, Egypt.

Email

profmafifi@yahoo.com

City

Plant Pathology Research Institute, giza

Orcid

-

First Name

Magdy

Last Name

Khatab

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Plant Pathology Research Institute, Agricultural Research Center, Giza, Egypt.

Email

-

City

Giza

Orcid

-

Volume

14

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

6931

Issue Date

2009-01-01

Receive Date

2008-09-12

Publish Date

2009-01-01

Page Start

51

Page End

62

Print ISSN

1110-2543

Online ISSN

2682-3322

Link

https://jpd.journals.ekb.eg/article_44611.html

Detail API

https://jpd.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=44611

Order

4

Type

Original Article

Type Code

867

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Journal of Productivity and Development

Publication Link

https://jpd.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

EVALUATION AND VALIDATION OF TEB-CAST FORECAST SYSTEM TO MANAGE TOMATO EARLY BLIGHT IN EGYPT

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Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023