32285

Application of Discrete Choice Models for Exploring Traveller’s Behaviour at Egyptian Transport Network

Article

Last updated: 04 Jan 2025

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Abstract

Mode choice models generally form a critical part of the analysis of the travel demand of any study area in any country and have played an important role in transport modelling over the last decades. These models provide a detailed representation of the complex aspects of transport demand based on strong theoretical justifications. However, this paper describes the development of a mode choice model for the Egyptian main zones based only on the behaviour of travellers. The necessary data are collected using a special questionnaire prepared by the Egyptian Ministry of Transportation in 2010 and interviewing travellers at basic taxi terminals across Egypt. The mode choice model is derived using the multinomial logit (MNL), the nested logit (NLM), and the multinomial probit (MPM). The modelling execution results show that, for all the studied Egyptian zones, the NLM models give satisfactory and better results than the MNL and MPM models. The trip cost strongly affects the choice of paid conveyance, especially when it comes to work and educational trips. This may be apparent in the majority of developing countries, where the weak economic situation negatively impacts the use of expensive transportation means. However, the overall results of the present study are valuable and confidential, suggesting a reasonable transport policy intended for users in Egypt, the main purpose of which is the use of comfortable vehicles at moderate fares. It is advisable to investigate all aspects of the problem in order to reach an extensive modelling and analysis of mode choice. This will surely help to improve the prevailing transport system in Egypt.

DOI

10.21608/pserj.2018.32285

Keywords

Mode choice, discrete choice model, multinomial logit, nested logit, multinomial probit

Authors

First Name

Ahmed

Last Name

Semeida

MiddleName

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Affiliation

Civil Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Port Said University, Port Said, Egypt

Email

asmeeda@eng.psu.edu.eg

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Volume

22

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

5483

Issue Date

2018-03-01

Receive Date

2018-01-28

Publish Date

2018-03-20

Page Start

25

Page End

33

Print ISSN

1110-6603

Online ISSN

2536-9377

Link

https://pserj.journals.ekb.eg/article_32285.html

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https://pserj.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=32285

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3

Type

Original Article

Type Code

813

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Port-Said Engineering Research Journal

Publication Link

https://pserj.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Application of Discrete Choice Models for Exploring Traveller’s Behaviour at Egyptian Transport Network

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Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023