ABSTRACT
Recently a national Black Bedouin meat goat breeding program has been
carried out in the Agriculture station of Mutah University in Jordan but it has not so far
resulted in clear genetic improvement. The most important reason for this failure is the
lack of an optimizing breeding program design. The aim of this study is to show results
of four different simulated scenarios that evaluate the feasibility of Black Bedouin
breeding programs in Jordan using ZPLAN software. The breeding goal was a higher
marketing weight of kids at 6 months old, whereas selection criteria were doe milk total and
partial, birth weight, weaning weight, dam weight, prolificacy and daily gain. The first
Scenario was consisting of two closed tier scheme in which bucks were only
disseminating from nucleus to commercial farms. The Second Scenario was also
consisting of two tier close nucleus in which dissemination were occurred to both bucks
and does into commercial farms. The third scenario was considering open scheme for
bucks of two tiers. Finally, the fourth Scenario was consisting of two tier open scheme
for both bucks and does disseminating downward to commercial population and
importing bucks only from commercial population. Modeling results indicate that
overall annual profit of the first scenario was only economically profitable (0.264 € per
doe).