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54230

ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL STUDY FOR OPTIMAL CROP PATTERN IN THE LIGHT OF THE EXPECTED WATER RESTRECTIONS

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Last updated: 03 Jan 2025

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Abstract

The agricultural area in Egypt is the largest consumer of water and still requires more water to expand. Any changes in Nile water supply due to climate change would threaten the agricultural water productivities, both physical productivity and economic productivity, and the food security in Egypt. The objective of the current paper is to investigate the impacts of Nile supply reduction on the agricultural water productivities and food security in Egypt using the Agriculture Sector Model in Egypt (ASME). The results showed that the reduction in Nile supply will either increase or decrease the areas of different crops, and generally will decrease the total cropped area. Regarding the food security, all indicators refer to a slight decline in the food security progress in terms of reduction of water availability, self-sufficiency of strategic food crops, and net virtual water import. The reduction in Nile supply will also deteriorate the economic situation, which can be confirmed by the reduction in agricultural productivity, consumer-producer surplus, and number of jobs as well as the increase in net imports' value and water marginal value. The current study recommends implementing adaptation measures to efficiently use the available water resources and to increase the agricultural productivity per unit area. 
 

DOI

10.21608/jes.2019.54230

Keywords

Keywords: ASME, agricultural productivity, Climate Change

Authors

First Name

Essam M.

Last Name

Ahmed

MiddleName

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Affiliation

Planning Sector, Ministry of Water Resources and Irrigation

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City

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First Name

Mosad E.

Last Name

Ragab

MiddleName

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Affiliation

Faculty of Agriculture, Ain Shams University

Email

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City

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First Name

Seham A.

Last Name

Abdel-Hamid

MiddleName

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Affiliation

Institute of Environmental studies and Research, Ain Shams University

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City

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Orcid

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First Name

Mohye M. A.

Last Name

Omar

MiddleName

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Affiliation

Nile Research Institute, NCWR

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

45

Article Issue

3

Related Issue

7533

Issue Date

2019-03-01

Receive Date

2019-03-20

Publish Date

2019-03-01

Page Start

87

Page End

104

Print ISSN

1110-0826

Online ISSN

2636-3178

Link

https://jes.journals.ekb.eg/article_54230.html

Detail API

https://jes.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=54230

Order

5

Type

Review Article

Type Code

599

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Journal of Environmental Science

Publication Link

https://jes.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL STUDY FOR OPTIMAL CROP PATTERN IN THE LIGHT OF THE EXPECTED WATER RESTRECTIONS

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Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023