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258182

Current status and future vision of the Egyptian agricultural fertilizer balance using Box Jenkins approach

Article

Last updated: 03 Jan 2025

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Tags

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Abstract

The agricultural necessaries have the major affects in developing such sector .chemical factors which help in production and production and productivity of such sector. For these necessary, the target of the study can be summarized as Studying the time -being and the expected quantities from nitrogen and phosphate fertilizers. The study also relied on approach of box -Jenkins to test the kind and rank the estimated model through the autocorrelation function (AFC), Partial Autocorrelation function (PAFC) too, and thus the stability of time series data this followed by testing validity of the model (Validation) to represent the model ,and the statical validity to forecasts, To achieve this secondary data collected from varies sources such as (CAMPMS) and (FAO) ,during the period 2000-2020 was collected ,and forecasting the fertilizers budget during 2022-2030 have been also estimated. For policy makers the study recommends the following aspects: (1) supporting the private sector in order to reduce the percentage of exports, especially of nitrogen fertilizers as.(2) Raising awareness of farmers about the need to use the recommended quantities of fertilizers to maintain the quality and fertility of the soil. (3) Changing the current agricultural policies, whether at the farmers or management level, with the aim of developing the agricultural sector. (4) Reconsidering the method of cash or in-kind support that the farmer receives for production requirements, and applying the electronic system until the full support reaches the farmer, according to the actual land needs

DOI

10.21608/jsas.2022.140658.1356

Keywords

: Budget of Chemical, Box Jenkins, Approach, Agriculture Fertilizers, Future Status, Nitrogen and phosphate, fertilizers

Authors

First Name

Elsayed

Last Name

Atallah

MiddleName

Mohamed

Affiliation

Agricultural Economics Department, Faculty of Agriculture, Damietta University.

Email

elsayedatallah@gmail.com

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Mourad

Last Name

Moussa

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Agricultural Economics Department, Faculty of Ariculture, Kafrelsheikh University.

Email

drmouradzaki@gmail.com

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

ali

Last Name

ali

MiddleName

Abd El-Mohsen

Affiliation

معهد بحوث الاقتصاد الزراعي

Email

alya19696@yahoo.com

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

منال

Last Name

زكريا

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

معهد بحوث الاقتصاد الزراعي

Email

meno.yousry2014@gmail.com

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

48

Article Issue

4

Related Issue

36540

Issue Date

2022-12-01

Receive Date

2022-05-25

Publish Date

2022-12-01

Page Start

451

Page End

464

Print ISSN

2536-9571

Online ISSN

2536-958X

Link

https://jsas.journals.ekb.eg/article_258182.html

Detail API

https://jsas.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=258182

Order

258,182

Type

Original Article

Type Code

364

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Journal of Sustainable Agricultural Sciences

Publication Link

https://jsas.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Current status and future vision of the Egyptian agricultural fertilizer balance using Box Jenkins approach

Details

Type

Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023