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225445

An Econometrics Study of the Impact of Climate Change on the Productivity of the Most Important Field Crops in the Governorates of Egypt

Article

Last updated: 01 Jan 2025

Subjects

-

Tags

Agricultural economics

Abstract

The agricultural sector is considered one of the most important sectors affected by climatic changes due to the sensitivity of agricultural crops to temperature changes, whether by rise or fall, as the productivity of some crops decreases with the increase in temperature, while the productivity of some crops increases with this rise. As well as the poor quality of production, which will have an impact on Egyptian agriculture as well as Egyptian food security. Where the research aims to study the impact of the most important climatic changes-whether positive or negative- represented in (maximum temperatures-minimum temperatures- relative humidity - rainfall rate) on the productivity of the most important field crops in the new and old lands in the governorates of Egypt for the most widely recognized crop aggregates.
As it was clear from the results of estimating the Stepwise regression model using the random model method that the final outcome of positive climate changes leads to an increase in the productivity of the wheat crop in the total land by 0.01 tons / feddan, which represents about 0.39% of the average productivity of wheat in the governorates of Egypt, which is about 2.569 tons / feddan, in When the final outcome of the climatic changes was positive, it led to an increase in the productivity of the maize crop in the total lands by 0.07 tons / feddan, which represents about 2.37% of the average productivity of wheat in the governorates of Egypt, which is about 2.953 tons / feddan. While the final outcome of climatic changes was negative, leading to a decrease in the productivity of the rice crop in the total lands by 0.11 tons / feddan, which represents about 3.16% of the average productivity of wheat in the governorates of Egypt, which amounts to about 3.477 tons / feddan. It became clear that the final outcome of positive climate changes leads to an increase in the productivity of the cotton crop in the total lands by 0.036 tons / feddan, which represents about 3.03% of the average cotton productivity in the governorates of Egypt, which is about 1.187 tons / feddan.
 

DOI

10.21608/asejaiqjsae.2022.225445

Keywords

Climate changes, Panel Data, productivity, Governorates of Egypt

Authors

First Name

Mohamed

Last Name

Abdelfatah

MiddleName

Osman

Affiliation

Agri Economic, Faculty of Agriculture, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt

Email

drmosman2020@yahoo.com

City

-

Orcid

0000-0002-0829-0837

First Name

Eman

Last Name

Kadous

MiddleName

Farid

Affiliation

Agri. Economic, Faculty of Agriculture, Ain Shams University

Email

eman_amin@agr.asu.edu.eg

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

43

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

30186

Issue Date

2022-03-01

Receive Date

2022-02-17

Publish Date

2022-03-30

Page Start

415

Page End

449

Print ISSN

1110-0176

Online ISSN

2536-9784

Link

https://asejaiqjsae.journals.ekb.eg/article_225445.html

Detail API

https://asejaiqjsae.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=225445

Order

41

Type

Original Article

Type Code

53

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Alexandria Science Exchange Journal

Publication Link

https://asejaiqjsae.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

An Econometrics Study of the Impact of Climate Change on the Productivity of the Most Important Field Crops in the Governorates of Egypt

Details

Type

Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023