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158763

Area Response and Price Relationships for Different Production Seasons of Tomato in Egypt

Article

Last updated: 22 Jan 2023

Subjects

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Tags

Agricultural economics

Abstract

This research aims to determine the monthly profitability of the pound invested in each production season of tomato in Egypt. Also to  estimate the area response models for tomato, meanwhile, to drive the annual response coefficients and the response period, the research has also investigated the nature of the relationship between the prices of different production seasons of tomato and between the prices of the same seasons across time. The data utilized are secondary data published and unpublished by the ministry of agriculture and land reclamenation as well as the central agency for public mobilization and statistics. Different functional forms are utilized to determine the main factors affecting tomato area response in different production seasons. Mainly the lagged endogenous and exogenous models were utilized. Also the simple partial modified model of Nerlove was tested. All the parameter were estimated using the ordinary least squares method (O.L.S). The results showed that the average monthly profitability of the pound invested amounted to 0.5L.E , 0.4L.E. and 0.38 L.E for the summer, winter and Nily seasons respectively. The main factors affecting the area response are the one-year lagged farm price and the on-year lagged area cultivated. No significant coefficient were reported for the Nily season during the period (1990-2005) . The growth rate of farm prices for summer, Nily, and Winter seasons were 4.8%, 3.3%, 2.4% respectively. The coefficient of variation for prices showed the highest record for winter tomato (62%) then for summer (25%) and lastly for Nily prices (14%). According to the double exponential smoothing forecasting technique, the prices of Nily, summer and winter tomato in 2012 are expected to reach about 1075 L.E., 600 L.E and 535 L.E per ton respectively. The per capita production are expected to reach 68 kg, 61 kg and 15 kg for winter, summer, and Nily seasons respectively.    

DOI

10.21608/asejaiqjsae.2008.158763

Authors

First Name

Saad

Last Name

Zaghloul Soliman

MiddleName

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Affiliation

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Email

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City

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Orcid

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Volume

29

Article Issue

April-June

Related Issue

556

Issue Date

2008-04-01

Receive Date

2008-06-02

Publish Date

2008-04-01

Page Start

106

Page End

118

Print ISSN

1110-0176

Online ISSN

2536-9784

Link

https://asejaiqjsae.journals.ekb.eg/article_158763.html

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https://asejaiqjsae.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=158763

Order

9

Type

Original Article

Type Code

53

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Alexandria Science Exchange Journal

Publication Link

https://asejaiqjsae.journals.ekb.eg/

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-

Details

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Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023