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108560

The Role of Greenhouses in Filling Trade Gap of Tomato Crop in Saudi Arabia

Article

Last updated: 01 Jan 2025

Subjects

-

Tags

Crop economics

Abstract

USING, time series data, this research aimed at studying the role of greenhouses planted with tomatoes in reducing the import trade gap in Saudi Arabia by forecasting the impact of the change in the area of greenhouses of tomatoes on imports and total production in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The study adopted Piecewise Linear Regression, ordinary least square and simultaneous multi-equation models, using Seemingly Unrelated Regression model. The results of the study indicated that the area and production of tomatoes in greenhouses showed a decreasing trend during the study period. As a result, there was an import trade gap for tomato crops estimated at 171.1 thousand tons on average for the study period, which represents about 42.2% of the average total tomato production. The most important determinants of the production of tomatoes in greenhouses include the area of greenhouses planted with tomatoes, one year lagged tomato price, and the value of medium-term loans allocated to greenhouses production. The study showed that the effect of temperature change on tomato production is more significant than carbon dioxide emissions. The study estimated forecasted reduction in the Kingdom's imports of tomatoes by 98% if the area of greenhouses is doubled. Hence, to reduce trade deficit of tomatoes and convert the deficit into a trade surplus, the study recommended horizontal expansion in greenhouses planted with tomatoes.

DOI

10.21608/agro.2020.27271.1211

Keywords

Forecasting, Piecewise Linear Regression, Saudi Arabia, Simultaneous equations models, Tomato

Authors

First Name

Hafsa

Last Name

Morci

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Agribusiness and Consumer Sciences Department, College of Agriculture and Food Science, King Faisal University, Hufof, Saudi Arabia , Agricultural Economics Department, College of Agriculture, Ain Shams University, Cairo, Egypt

Email

hmorci@kfu.edu.sa

City

Hufof

Orcid

0000000330916995

First Name

Nagat

Last Name

Elmulthum

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Agribusiness and Consumer Sciences Department, College of Agriculture and Food Science, King Faisal University, Hufof, Saudi Arabia , College of Agricultural Sciences, Gezira University, Wad Medani, Sudan

Email

nelmultham@kfu.edu.sa

City

-

Orcid

0000-0003-0587-4121

First Name

Maha

Last Name

Hadid

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Agribusiness and Consumer Sciences Department, College of Agriculture and Food Science, King Faisal University, Hufof, Saudi Arabia , College of Agriculture, Damascus University, Damascus, Syria

Email

mhadid@kfu.edu.sa

City

Hufof

Orcid

0000000328477575

Volume

42

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

16822

Issue Date

2020-08-01

Receive Date

2020-04-05

Publish Date

2020-08-01

Page Start

197

Page End

207

Print ISSN

0379-3575

Online ISSN

2357-0288

Link

https://agro.journals.ekb.eg/article_108560.html

Detail API

https://agro.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=108560

Order

8

Type

Original Article

Type Code

17

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Egyptian Journal of Agronomy

Publication Link

https://agro.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

The Role of Greenhouses in Filling Trade Gap of Tomato Crop in Saudi Arabia

Details

Type

Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023