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414914

A Predictive Framework Based on Students' Academic Performance in Higher Education

Article

Last updated: 09 Mar 2025

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Abstract

This research proposes a predictive framework for assessing the academic performance of students in higher education, leveraging data mining and machine learning techniques. The study addresses the challenge of imbalanced datasets, which often skew the performance of classification models, by employing the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) to enhance prediction accuracy. The framework integrates various supervised learning algorithms, including J48, Random Forest (RF), and K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), to predict student performance and recommend suitable academic paths based on historical data. The data set, collected from the Higher Institute for Management Sciences, spans multiple academic years, and includes student records from three departments: Information Systems, Management, and Accounting. The research demonstrates that handling class imbalance through SMOTE significantly improves model performance, with the Random Forest classifier achieving the highest accuracy of 93.70%. The study also highlights the importance of feature selection, data preprocessing, and normalization in optimizing predictive outcomes. The findings underscore the potential of educational data mining to support early academic interventions and personalized guidance, aiding students in making informed decisions about their academic trajectories. Future work will explore additional sampling techniques and expand the dataset to further enhance model accuracy.

DOI

10.21608/aiis.2025.361760.1018

Keywords

Students performance, SMOTE, Educational data mining, Data mining algorithms

Authors

First Name

Mohamed

Last Name

Elhayes

MiddleName

Ali

Affiliation

Faculty of Business, Economics & Information Systems Misr University for Science& Technology

Email

mohamed.elhayes@must.edu.eg

City

Giza

Orcid

-

First Name

osama

Last Name

Eldeeb

MiddleName

mohamed

Affiliation

Giza Higher Institute for Managerial Sciences, Tomah

Email

o3amaeldeeb@gmail.com

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Abdelaziz

Last Name

Abdelaziz

MiddleName

fathy

Affiliation

Giza Higher Institute of Management Sciences.

Email

abdulaziz.fathy.pbis2020@commerce.helwan.edu.eg

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

3

Article Issue

7

Related Issue

52170

Issue Date

2025-02-01

Receive Date

2025-02-18

Publish Date

2025-02-01

Page Start

241

Page End

271

Print ISSN

2812-6114

Online ISSN

2812-6122

Link

https://aiis.journals.ekb.eg/article_414914.html

Detail API

http://journals.ekb.eg?_action=service&article_code=414914

Order

414,914

Type

Refereed research papers.

Type Code

2,679

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Artificial Intelligence Information Security

Publication Link

https://aiis.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

A Predictive Framework Based on Students' Academic Performance in Higher Education

Details

Type

Article

Created At

09 Mar 2025