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314861

Latent Structure Models for Analyzing Processes of Change a General Framework and a Latent Class Markov Chain Model

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Last updated: 05 Jan 2025

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Abstract

This paper is a continuation and development of work on a group of latent structure models proposed by Lazarsfeld and Henry (1968) and Wiggins (1973) for analyzing processes of change over time. There have been problems associated with these models, see, e.g., Duncan (1975). In this paper a general framework for presenting such models is introduced. A latent class Morkov chain model is presented and its identification is discussed. Two Expectation-Maximization algorithms, corresponding to types of data (T-dimensional frequency tables and (T-1) frequency matrices associated with T points in time), are developed for estimation A model of independent latent random processes is presented as a special case. Two examples from sociometric study and voting intentions are re-analyzed for illustration. Models and methods developed have the following advantages. They are applicable to polytomous as well as dichotomous variables, for any number of time points. Procedures are provided for testing model goodness of fit, model selection and prediction. Estimates are maximum likelihood estimates and always lie between zero and one.

DOI

10.21608/esju.1992.314861

Keywords

Latent Structure Analysis, Wiggin's Model, Markov Chains, Maximum Likelihood Estimates, Expectation Maximization Algorithm, Tests of Goodness of Fit

Authors

First Name

Hatem

Last Name

Hatem

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Volume

36

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

43182

Issue Date

1992-12-01

Receive Date

2023-08-28

Publish Date

1992-12-01

Page Start

198

Page End

225

Print ISSN

0542-1748

Online ISSN

2786-0086

Link

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/article_314861.html

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https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=314861

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4

Type

Original Article

Type Code

1,914

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

The Egyptian Statistical Journal

Publication Link

https://esju.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Latent Structure Models for Analyzing Processes of Change a General Framework and a Latent Class Markov Chain Model

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Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024