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341440

Studying the relationship between economic growth and unemployment according to Okun's Law in Egypt during the period (1990-2023

Article

Last updated: 05 Jan 2025

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Tags

مجالات العلوم التجارية وهى فروع الإدارة والمحاسبة والاقتصاد والعلوم السياسية والإحصاء التطبيقي والتأمين

Abstract

Abstract: The study critically investigates the influence of unemployment on Egypt's economic growth using time series data from 1990 to 2023. The relationship between unemployment and economic growth was found to be adverse, indicating that reducing unemployment would ensure Egyptian economic growth. The effects of Okun's law coefficient suggest a negative association between unemployment and GDP, since low economic growth is one of the reasons for the rise in unemployment. As the decrease in aggregate demand triggers a decline in aggregate supply, a decrease in production leads to a decrease in economic growth rates. Thus, companies cut staff, which raises unemployment, exacerbating long-run unemployment issues. In summary, the study's findings support Okun's law, as they prove that growing GDP decreases unemployment in Egypt. Based on the findings.
The results of the model tests showed that there is no direct relationship between GDP growth as an independent variable and the growth of the unemployment rate as a dependent variable, but there is a relationship between the difference at level and the influence factor by approximately (-0.386), with a significance level of 5%, meaning that an increase in the growth rate of output by 1% leads to a decrease in the unemployment rate by (-0.386%). In a later period, hold other factors constant. which is in line with Okun's law, but this relationship is only in the short run, while the existence of a long-run integration relationship between the two variables has not been proven.

DOI

10.21608/alat.2024.341440

Keywords

Keywords: economic growth, Unemployment, Okun's law, Egypt

Authors

First Name

مروه

Last Name

حجازى

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

قسم الاقتصاد كلية التجارة ـ جامعة المنصورة

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

محمد

Last Name

فوزى عبد العال

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

كلية التجارة ـ جامعة العريش

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

عبد السميع

Last Name

تحسين ابو العينين

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

قسم الاقتصاد كلية التجارة ـ جامعة المنصورة

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

48

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

45873

Issue Date

2024-01-01

Receive Date

2024-02-15

Publish Date

2024-01-01

Page Start

292

Page End

323

Print ISSN

1110-2284

Online ISSN

2785-9703

Link

https://alat.journals.ekb.eg/article_341440.html

Detail API

https://alat.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=341440

Order

341,440

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

1,832

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

المجلة المصرية للدراسات التجارية

Publication Link

https://alat.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Studying the relationship between economic growth and unemployment according to Okun's Law in Egypt during the period (1990-2023

Details

Type

Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024