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Analysis of Price and Seasonal Fluctuations of The Most Important Agricultural Food Commodities in Egypt تحليل التقلبات السعرية والموسمية لأهم السلع الغذائية الزراعية في مصر

Article

Last updated: 05 Jan 2025

Subjects

-

Tags

Agricultural economics

Abstract

The research aims to analyze the price and seasonal fluctuations of the most important agricultural food products in Egypt during the period (2005-2023), and the study reached the following results: It shows an increase in the average prices of onions, local garlic, potatoes, tomatoes, ham, farm chicken, and tilapia fish during the last five years (2018- 2022) at a rate of 707.41%, 607.75%, 565.53%, 520.77%, 441.54%, 329.09% and 276.96% compared to the prices of 2005 in the same order. The general trend equations indicate an increase in the prices of onions, local garlic, potatoes, tomatoes, ham, farm chicken, and tilapia fish during the period the study has an estimated annual growth rate of 10.40%, 12.50%, 10.60%, 10.80%, 11.30%, 9.30%, 90% in the same order. The results of the study of monthly price fluctuations and seasonality indicate that there is an imbalance in price fluctuations around the average for all commodities under study, but it was found that there are no sharp price fluctuations in the selling prices of those commodities under study. The results of the model also indicated that the seasonal effect of the months of the year on prices was not proven significant for all commodities under study, except for the month of September for tomatoes. The results also indicated that there is an effect of the time factor on prices, as it leads to an increase in the prices of these commodities. Based on the above, the study recommends the need to increase the domestic output of these commodities under study in order to fill the growing gap by increasing investments to maintain price levels from sharp fluctuations, as well as from rising and stabilizing at the levels desired by consumers in proportion to their incomes.

DOI

10.21608/jalexu.2024.293656.1200

Keywords

Price Fluctuations, seasonal fluctuations, food products, seasonal effect, Index number

Authors

First Name

Mohamed

Last Name

Elshahawy

MiddleName

I. M.

Affiliation

Faculty of Agriculture (Saba Basha), Alexandria University, Egypt.

Email

prof.dr.mohmedibrahimelshehawy@alexu.edu.eg

City

Alexandria

Orcid

-

First Name

Dina

Last Name

elshaer

MiddleName

M. A.

Affiliation

Faculty of Agriculture (Saba Basha), Alexandria University, Egypt.

Email

dr.dinamohamedahmedelshaer@alexu.edu.eg

City

-

Orcid

-

First Name

Marwa

Last Name

Belal

MiddleName

Adel

Affiliation

Faculty of Agriculture (Saba Basha), Alexandria University, Egypt.

Email

marwaadel@alexu.edu.eg

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

29

Article Issue

2

Related Issue

47540

Issue Date

2024-06-01

Receive Date

2024-05-29

Publish Date

2024-06-30

Page Start

183

Page End

194

Print ISSN

1110-5585

Online ISSN

2785-9525

Link

https://jalexu.journals.ekb.eg/article_365496.html

Detail API

https://jalexu.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=365496

Order

5

Type

Review articles

Type Code

1,796

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Journal of the Advances in Agricultural Researches

Publication Link

https://jalexu.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Analysis of Price and Seasonal Fluctuations of The Most Important Agricultural Food Commodities in Egypt تحليل التقلبات السعرية والموسمية لأهم السلع الغذائية الزراعية في مصر

Details

Type

Article

Created At

28 Dec 2024