295368

External debt's impact on capital formation in lower-middle-income countries in Africa: ARDL approach

Article

Last updated: 04 Jan 2025

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Abstract

In most African nations, capital is among the most significant impediments to long-term growth, necessitating a constant level of capital formation, the preponderance of which is financed by government debt. Emerging economies have utilized external debt to encourage domestic investment, however, several of the world's most indebted emerging economies failed to direct these debts to capital formation. As a result, while excessive debt is criticized for stifling economic growth, the majority of emerging nations cannot thrive without borrowing. As a consequence, this study intends to explore the impacts of external debt in the short and long-term on capital formation in Africa's lower-middle-income countries from 2000 to 2020 as no studies have been identified to quantify this impact on such nations. The “dynamic fixed effect DFE and pooled mean group PMG ARDL" techniques are used. The presence of a statistically significant and negative error correction term indicates the presence of a long-run connection. In this study, the PMG estimator is shown to be more effective and consistent. The results show in general that external debts have an insignificant negative impact on capital formation both in the short and long-term except for Egypt and Benin, which have a short-term positive impact on capital formation.

DOI

10.21608/jocu.2023.157682.1215

Keywords

External Debt, Capital formation, Lower-middle-income, Pooled mean group ARDL

Authors

First Name

شرين

Last Name

بشرى غالي

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

أکاديمية السادات للعلوم الادارية

Email

sherine_ghaly@yahoo.com

City

-

Orcid

0000-0001-5062-9761

Volume

19

Article Issue

18

Related Issue

40851

Issue Date

2023-04-01

Receive Date

2022-08-21

Publish Date

2023-04-01

Page Start

162

Page End

191

Print ISSN

2636-4166

Online ISSN

2735-3176

Link

https://jocu.journals.ekb.eg/article_295368.html

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https://jocu.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=295368

Order

295,368

Type

مقالات سیاسیة واقتصادیة

Type Code

1,296

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

مجلة السياسة والاقتصاد

Publication Link

https://jocu.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

External debt's impact on capital formation in lower-middle-income countries in Africa: ARDL approach

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Article

Created At

25 Dec 2024