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256834

ESTIMATING GENERAL EQUILIB IUM MODEL ON THE NATIONAL LEVEL IN EGYPT

Article

Last updated: 24 Dec 2024

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Abstract

Fiscal and Monetary Policies play important role in moti~alion the most
of economic activities and economic development in Egypt, so the objective of
the study is to explore the role of economic variables in performance and
efficiency of the tools of these two polices, so the General Equilibrium
Madelon National Level in Egypt was estimated, the study applied
liverpool model by Simultaneous Equali<:ms System. according to Jerry
Hausman method of Full Information Maximum Likelihood (FIML) Also the study used simple linear trend regression for achieving the
objective, and some used the tests of detecting some econometric problems,
i.e., Autocorrelation ,i.e., "Box-Pierce-Ljung Test and Breusch-Pagan Test"
Heteroscedasticity, "Engel Test", Non-Normality ot the error ,i.e., "Jarque-
Bera Test" and Multicollinearity. On the other hand Maximum Likelihood
Estimation (MLE) was applied to maximize the Log Likelihood Function (LLF1,
due to Beacn-Mackinnon method. Engel's autoregressive conditional
heteroscedasticity method (ARCH), and Extended Box-Cox Regression
method, and Ordinary Ridge Regression. Finally the data were collected from
different sources to cover the period (1980-2000). Results of the study were consistent with the economic theory, and
showed the effectiveness of fiscal policy as a result of the effect of
government expenditure on increasing gross national product, also the
increasing in taxes led to decreasing the consumption. One the other hand
monetary policy has no effect as a result to inelastic and the weakness of
money demand and investment with respect to interest rate. Recommendations of the study are concerning applying expanded
monetary policy to reflect increasing money supply and decreasing interest
rate. these changes will lead to increasing gross domestic product. labor, and
consumption. Also expanding fiscal polley will reflect decreasing taxes.

DOI

10.21608/jaess.2002.256834

Authors

First Name

M.

Last Name

EI-Batran,

MiddleName

M.

Affiliation

Department of Agricultural Economics Faculty of Agriculture - Cairo University

Email

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City

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Orcid

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First Name

Sahra

Last Name

Ata

MiddleName

K.

Affiliation

Department of Agricultural Economics Faculty of Agriculture - Cairo University

Email

-

City

-

Orcid

-

Volume

27

Article Issue

9

Related Issue

36395

Issue Date

2002-09-01

Receive Date

2002-08-23

Publish Date

2002-09-01

Page Start

5,965

Page End

5,983

Print ISSN

2090-3634

Online ISSN

2090-3715

Link

https://jaess.journals.ekb.eg/article_256834.html

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https://jaess.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=256834

Order

9

Type

Original Article

Type Code

884

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

Journal of Agricultural Economics and Social Sciences

Publication Link

https://jaess.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

ESTIMATING GENERAL EQUILIB IUM MODEL ON THE NATIONAL LEVEL IN EGYPT

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Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023