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8708

Demand for Egyptian Molasses in the World Market: a Panel Estimation

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Last updated: 03 Jan 2025

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Abstract

 Although Egypt is considered one of the most important export countries for molasses in the world market, Egyptian molasses export witnessed notable fluctuations during the last decade. Nevertheless, there is almost no study investigates and estimates the factors affecting its demand in the world market. The present study aims mainly toestimate demand function of the Egyptian molasses in the global market and in each individual importer market. Competitors' relative prices, income of import country, exchange rate of rival exporters, and volatility of relative prices and exchange rate were the proposed determinants of the exported quantity of Egyptian molasses in the global market. Random effects analysis was conducted to estimate the demand function using panel data of three importer countries during the period of 1986-20012. The results showed that Egypt/India price ratio, Egypt/Pakistan exchange rate, and pricesvolatilityare significantly affecting negativelythe Egyptian molasses exports. The results of the estimation of demand function for each importer country independently showed nearly the same conclusions with minor differences. The responsiveness of Egyptian molasses exports to UK, Italy, and Spain Markets to the price ratios were measured by the price ratios elasticities in each market. The elasticities of Egypt/Pakistan Price ratio showed highest elasticities in UK and Spain markets by 4.85% and 4.12%, respectively. The Egypt/India price elasticity was the highest in Italy market by -5.

DOI

10.21608/jard.2015.8708

Keywords

Price volatility – Exchange rate – Exports, Im-Pesaran-Shin test (IPS), Random Effects Model

Authors

First Name

Mohamed

Last Name

Alboghdady

MiddleName

-

Affiliation

Agricultural Economics Department, Faculty of Agriculture, Suez Canal University

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Volume

1

Article Issue

1

Related Issue

1669

Issue Date

2015-12-01

Receive Date

2018-07-05

Publish Date

2015-12-01

Page Start

25

Page End

32

Print ISSN

2356-9484

Online ISSN

2636-3100

Link

https://jard.journals.ekb.eg/article_8708.html

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https://jard.journals.ekb.eg/service?article_code=8708

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3

Type

المقالة الأصلية

Type Code

585

Publication Type

Journal

Publication Title

مجلة الإقتصاد الزراعى و التنمية الريفية

Publication Link

https://jard.journals.ekb.eg/

MainTitle

Demand for Egyptian Molasses in the World Market: a Panel Estimation

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Article

Created At

22 Jan 2023